Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Adventure + Multiple Endings
Adventure + Multiple Endings
Games tagged both Adventure and Multiple Endings: 451 indie paid launches, 30 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Adventure + Multiple Endings priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Adventure and is about level with Multiple Endings; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Adventure and trails Multiple Endings.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Adventure + Multiple Endings is about level with Adventure and trails Multiple Endings: 18.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 23.9 in 100 for Multiple Endings.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 82 games tagged both Adventure and Multiple Endings priced $10 to $20. 18.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.6 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 27.5 in 100 for Multiple Endings-only games, so the mix is about level with Adventure alone and trails Multiple Endings alone.
Both: 82 games priced $10 to $20; 18.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 78 in 100 · $10k+ 51 in 100 · $100k+ 18 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 82 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Adventure + Multiple Endings holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view396 of 451 launches | Without the breakout450 of 451 launches | Last 18 months144 of 451 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 45130 hits | 39624 hits | 45029 hits | 1447 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.1 in 1001 in 17 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 4.9 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $929top tenth $67,070+ | $900 | $929 | $727 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -8.9%0.6 fewer in 100 | -3.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -26.9%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -3.1%$29 less | 0.0%no change | -21.7%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 451 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 55 of 451 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (17.1% of the money): 450 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 451.
Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches | Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches | Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7,710449 hits | 7,233421 hits | 7,709448 hits | 2,176124 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,206+ | $643 | $618 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.1%no change | -0.2%no change | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$25 more | 0.0%no change | +14.4%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.
Multiple Endings is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Multiple Endings | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,013 of 1,158 launches | Without the breakout1,157 of 1,158 launches | Last 18 months356 of 1,158 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,158101 hits | 1,01373 hits | 1,157100 hits | 35627 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,181top tenth $86,044+ | $1,144 | $1,181 | $1,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -17.4%1.5 fewer in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.0%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -3.1%$37 less | 0.0%no change | -14.4%$170 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 1,158 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 145 of 1,158 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,157 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 356 of 1,158.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Adventure + Multiple Endings moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.