Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Narrative
Adventure + Narrative: a typical launch earns $12,850 in its first year
That is the median of 33 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 62 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 14% on the year before: 48 against 42.
- Price
- $12,850 median of 33 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +370.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 48 42 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 134 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 317 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.09%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.12% | 16 ranked of 134 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,915 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.24xhits against expected | 0.87x to 1.81x | 62 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,579 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 62
- Hit rate
- 14.5%5.2% to 29.7%
- Expected rate
- 10.8%
- Against expected
- 1.24x0.87x to 1.81x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
62 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $202
- Median
- $4,135
- Top tenth
- $165,216
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +14%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Mixtape (opens the Steam store)2026 · 7,404 reviews, 87% positiveest. $2.8M
- Eriksholm: The Stolen Dream (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,468 reviews, 95% positiveest. $2M
- Wanderstop (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,949 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
- Promise Mascot Agency (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,579 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.3M
- Fears to Fathom - Ironbark Lookout (opens the Steam store)2023 · 6,106 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.2M
- Loco Motive (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,230 reviews, 92% positiveest. $448k
- Swordhaven: Iron Conspiracy (opens the Steam store)2024 · 796 reviews, 75% positiveest. $403k
- Foolish Mortals (opens the Steam store)2025 · 684 reviews, 94% positiveest. $277k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Romance$4,31378 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
More with Narrative
pairs with Narrative- Story Rich + Narrative$13,10440 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Narrativeno price32 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Narrativeno price24 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Narrativeno price23 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Narrativeno price23 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Narrativeno price22 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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