Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Adventure + Puzzle
Games tagged both Adventure and Puzzle: 1,692 indie paid launches, 85 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Adventure + Puzzle priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Adventure + Puzzle is about level with Adventure and is about level with Puzzle: 14.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 15.0 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 0.7 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 327 games tagged both Adventure and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 14.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.3 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 15.9 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is about level with Adventure alone and is about level with Puzzle alone.
Both: 327 games priced $10 to $20; 14.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,650.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 327 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Adventure + Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,611 of 1,692 launches | Without the breakout1,691 of 1,692 launches | Last 18 months507 of 1,692 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,69285 hits | 1,61181 hits | 1,69184 hits | 50724 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $727top tenth $29,359+ | $731 | $717 | $818 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.1%no change | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.8%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.6%$4 more | -1.4%$10 less | +12.5%$91 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 1,692 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 1,692 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (15.1% of the money): 1,691 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 507 of 1,692.
Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches | Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches | Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7,710449 hits | 7,233421 hits | 7,709448 hits | 2,176124 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,206+ | $643 | $618 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.1%no change | -0.2%no change | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$25 more | 0.0%no change | +14.4%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,129 of 5,329 launches | Without the breakout5,328 of 5,329 launches | Last 18 months1,514 of 5,329 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,329188 hits | 5,129177 hits | 5,328187 hits | 1,51458 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $417top tenth $14,053+ | $429 | $417 | $454 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +8.6%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.9%$12 more | 0.0%no change | +8.9%$37 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,329 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,329 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,328 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,514 of 5,329.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Adventure + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.