Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Adventure + Racing: a typical launch earns $111 in its first year
That is the median of 64 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 123 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 15% on the year before: 84 against 99.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $111 median of 64 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −0.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 84 99 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 166 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 812 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 2.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 4.67% | 14 ranked of 166 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,009 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.60xhits against expected | 0.42x to 1.03x | 123 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,257 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 123
- Hit rate
- 2.4%0.0% to 6.9%
- Expected rate
- 5.7%
- Against expected
- 0.60x0.42x to 1.03x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
123 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $121
- Top tenth
- $9,550
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −15%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Haste (opens the Steam store)2025 · 12,741 reviews, 92% positiveest. $5M
- WHAT THE CAR? (opens the Steam store)2024 · 814 reviews, 84% positiveest. $330k
- Wheel World (opens the Steam store)2025 · 739 reviews, 90% positiveest. $299k
- Truck-kun is Supporting Me from Another World?! (opens the Steam store)2026 · 241 reviews, 83% positiveest. $98k
- Retrowave World (opens the Steam store)2024 · 400 reviews, 70% positiveest. $81k
- TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials (opens the Steam store)2024 · 93 reviews, 78% positiveest. $75k
- Canyon of Outlaws (opens the Steam store)2025 · 92 reviews, 89% positiveest. $75k
- MudRunner VR (opens the Steam store)2024 · 130 reviews, 47% positiveest. $53k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Racing
pairs with Racing- Racing + Realistic$1,56740 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Sports$1,314104 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Multiplayer$60747 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Driving$606121 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Racing + PvP$60645 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Colorful$60567 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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