Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Adventure + Space: a typical launch earns $369 in its first year
That is the median of 70 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 12 of 138 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 5% on the year before: 96 against 91.
- Price
- $369 median of 70 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −23.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 96 91 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 300 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,038 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.12%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 3.21% | 19 ranked of 300 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,248 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.21xhits against expected | 0.86x to 1.74x | 138 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,704 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +43%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +14% to +84% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #265 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +9%review growth against same-age games | −3% to +27% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,616 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 138
- Hit rate
- 8.7%3.9% to 13.5%
- Expected rate
- 6.8%
- Against expected
- 1.21x0.86x to 1.74x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
138 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $405
- Top tenth
- $60,162
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +5%
- Against Steam
- −24%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Invincible (opens the Steam store)2023 · 10,215 reviews, 87% positiveest. $6M
- Revenge of the Savage Planet (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,855 reviews, 86% positiveest. $1.6M
- SpaceCraft (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,641 reviews, 63% positiveest. $1.6M
- The Expanse: A Telltale Series (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,388 reviews, 76% positiveest. $1.2M
- Astrometica (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,922 reviews, 82% positiveest. $1.2M
- Wildgate (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,038 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1M
- Breathedge 2 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,618 reviews, 86% positiveest. $655k
- STARSEEKER: Astroneer Expeditions (opens the Steam store)2026 · 804 reviews, 55% positiveest. $488k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Space
pairs with Space- Space + Exploration$2,02365 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- Space + PvE$80933 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Space$70876 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Space$55452 launches priced, 154 releases in 12 months
- Space + Roguelite$45431 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Space + Space Sim$40446 launches priced, 106 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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