Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Third Person
Adventure + Third Person: a typical launch earns $404 in its first year
That is the median of 264 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 29 of 549 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 37.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 19% on the year before: 438 against 368.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $404 median of 264 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +33.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 438 368 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,439 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 3,535 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 6.13%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 3.58% to 9.23% | 185 ranked of 1,439 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #25 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.79xhits against expected | 0.60x to 1.03x | 549 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,185 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +34%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +15% to +55% | 127 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #409 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +17%review growth against same-age games | +8% to +27% | 127 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #65 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 549
- Hit rate
- 5.5%4.3% to 7.9%
- Expected rate
- 6.9%
- Against expected
- 0.79x0.60x to 1.03x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
550 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $302
- Top tenth
- $19,344
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +19%
- Against Steam
- −13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Third PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 5,458 reviews, 89% positiveest. $2.2M
Hyper Light Breaker (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,424 reviews, 52% positiveest. $2.1M
Legacy of Kain™ Soul Reaver 1&2 Remastered (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,046 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.8M
Revenge of the Savage Planet (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,855 reviews, 86% positiveest. $1.6M
Voidling Bound (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,153 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.6M
METAL GEAR SOLID 4: Guns of the Patriots - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,565 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.6M
METAL GEAR SOLID 2: Sons of Liberty - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,580 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.4M
Caravan SandWitch (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,814 reviews, 88% positiveest. $1.4M
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Third Person
pairs with Third Person- Third Person + Female Protagonist$1,82144 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
- Third Person + Psychological Horror$98132 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
- Third Person + Sci-fi$80943 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Third Person + Immersive Sim$80943 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Third Person$80863 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + Third Person$76950 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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