Niche

Anime + Dating Sim

Games tagged both Anime and Dating Sim: 228 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Anime + Dating Sim priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Anime and is about level with Dating Sim; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Anime + Dating Sim trails both its tags: 8.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.5 in 100 for Anime and 19.3 in 100 for Dating Sim.

That is 1 in 12, about 0.4 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

2NDRunner-up

Tag onemood tagAnime

14.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.5 in 100

Typical earnings$10,140

Launches345 / 50 hits

Pair trails by6.3 in 100

3RDThird

This pairAnime + Dating Sim

8.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 12

$1k+73 in 100

$10k+37 in 100

Launches73 / 6 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

1STWinner

Tag twoDating Sim

19.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.3 in 100

Typical earnings$9,798

Launches181 / 35 hits

Pair trails by11.1 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Anime is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices228 in pair Under $581 in pair $5 to $1046 in pair $10 to $2073 in pair $20 to $4028 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 73 games tagged both Anime and Dating Sim priced $10 to $20. 8.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.2 in 100 for Anime-only games and 26.9 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 73 games priced $10 to $20; 8.2 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), odds by size $1k+ 73 in 100 · $10k+ 37 in 100 · $100k+ 8 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 73 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynastyleads this pair47.8%

PairThe Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty47.8%

AnimeGranblue Fantasy: Relink24.1%

Dating SimLegend of Mortal24.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Anime + Dating Sim

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty earned 47.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 228 Anime + Dating Sim launches.
Anime is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 24.1% of its money.
Dating Sim is led by Legend of Mortal, with 24.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Anime + Dating Sim holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Anime + Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view191 of 228 launches	Without the breakout227 of 228 launches	Last 18 months50 of 228 launches
Launches counted	22816 hits	19112 hits	22715 hits	502 hits
Earned $100k+	7.0 in 1001 in 14	6.3 in 1001 in 16	6.6 in 1001 in 15	2 of 50too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$1,265top tenth $71,387+	$1,265	$1,264	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-10.5%0.7 fewer in 100	-5.8%0.4 fewer in 100	-43.0%3.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-0.1%$1 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Anime and Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 228 launches.

Launches counted: 22816 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,265top tenth $71,387+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 228 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 19112 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,265
Chance against standard: -10.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (47.8% of the money): 227 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 22715 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $1,264
Chance against standard: -5.8%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 50 of 228.

Launches counted: 502 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 50too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -43.0%3.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Anime and Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 228 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 228 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (47.8% of the money): 227 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 50 of 228.

Anime is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Anime through every lens, all prices
Anime	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,405 of 1,559 launches	Without the breakout1,558 of 1,559 launches	Last 18 months429 of 1,559 launches
Launches counted	1,559133 hits	1,405111 hits	1,558132 hits	42939 hits
Earned $100k+	8.5 in 1001 in 12	7.9 in 1001 in 13	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,070top tenth $76,139+	$1,043	$1,070	$1,308
Chance against standard	the base	-7.4%0.6 fewer in 100	-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100	+6.6%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-2.5%$27 less	0.0%no change	+22.2%$238 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Anime, 12 to 36 months old: 1,559 launches.

Launches counted: 1,559133 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,070top tenth $76,139+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 154 of 1,559 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,405111 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,043
Chance against standard: -7.4%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.5%$27 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (24.1% of the money): 1,558 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,558132 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,070
Chance against standard: -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 429 of 1,559.

Launches counted: 42939 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,308
Chance against standard: +6.6%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +22.2%$238 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Anime, 12 to 36 months old: 1,559 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 154 of 1,559 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (24.1% of the money): 1,558 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 429 of 1,559.

Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
Dating Sim	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view496 of 630 launches	Without the breakout629 of 630 launches	Last 18 months153 of 630 launches
Launches counted	63062 hits	49642 hits	62961 hits	15314 hits
Earned $100k+	9.8 in 1001 in 10	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.7 in 1001 in 10	9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$2,513top tenth $99,496+	$2,359	$2,504	$2,359
Chance against standard	the base	-14.0%1.4 fewer in 100	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-7.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-6.1%$154 less	-0.4%$9 less	-6.1%$154 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.

Launches counted: 63062 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,513top tenth $99,496+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 49642 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: -14.0%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$154 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 62961 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,504
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$9 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.

Launches counted: 15314 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: -7.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$154 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Anime + Dating Sim moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.