Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Anime + Top-Down: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 35 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 65 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 17% on the year before: 35 against 42.
- Price
- $405 median of 35 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +0.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 35 42 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 68 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 256 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.06% | 10 ranked of 68 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,881 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.08xhits against expected | 0.75x to 1.77x | 65 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,305 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 65
- Hit rate
- 6.2%1.7% to 12.2%
- Expected rate
- 5.3%
- Against expected
- 1.08x0.75x to 1.77x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
65 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $202
- Top tenth
- $39,088
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −17%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,871 reviews, 78% positiveest. $1.8M
- Dark Deity 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,592 reviews, 89% positiveest. $806k
- DEATH NOTE Killer Within (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,324 reviews, 84% positiveest. $470k
- Super Dark Deception (opens the Steam store)2024 · 662 reviews, 65% positiveest. $241k
- Reap and Rush (opens the Steam store)2026 · 625 reviews, 77% positiveest. $190k
- 绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ (opens the Steam store)2025 · 701 reviews, 88% positiveest. $101k
- Internet Survivor Survivors (opens the Steam store)2026 · 242 reviews, 74% positiveest. $73k
- Aooni The Horror of Blueberry Onsen (opens the Steam store)2025 · 293 reviews, 79% positiveest. $65k
More with Anime
pairs with Anime- Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Romance$4,97896 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- Anime + LGBTQ+$4,70538 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Multiple Endings$4,54757 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Anime$4,38831 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
More with Top-Down
pairs with Top-Down- Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.