Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Arcade + Cute: a typical launch earns $323 in its first year
That is the median of 266 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 12 of 552 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 25.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 37% on the year before: 450 against 328.
- Price
- $323 median of 266 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +6.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 450 328 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 617 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,442 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.18%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.12% to 0.23% | 27 ranked of 618 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,126 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.52xhits against expected | 0.37x to 0.77x | 552 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,535 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −6%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −18% to +10% | 48 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,620 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −5%review growth against same-age games | −13% to +5% | 48 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,039 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 552
- Hit rate
- 2.2%1.1% to 3.6%
- Expected rate
- 4.7%
- Against expected
- 0.52x0.37x to 0.77x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
552 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $303
- Top tenth
- $9,197
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +37%
- Against Steam
- +1%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Backyard Baseball (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,264 reviews, 80% positiveest. $1M
- Little Fighter 2 Remastered (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,773 reviews, 76% positiveest. $570k
- Backyard Baseball '97 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,241 reviews, 97% positiveest. $453k
- Pepper Grinder (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,118 reviews, 85% positiveest. $339k
- TETRIS® THE GRAND MASTER 4 -ABSOLUTE EYE- (opens the Steam store)2025 · 615 reviews, 87% positiveest. $311k
- Nitro Express (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,072 reviews, 75% positiveest. $282k
- Super Dark Deception (opens the Steam store)2024 · 662 reviews, 65% positiveest. $241k
- Twin Shot Deluxe (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,180 reviews, 95% positiveest. $239k
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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