Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Arcade + Minimalist: a typical launch earns $182 in its first year

That is the median of 89 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 214 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 91% on the year before: 224 against 117.

Price: $182
Price vs a year earlier: +12.9%
Releases, 12 months: 224
Upcoming games: 266
Games on the store: 1,224

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Arcade + Minimalist on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.03%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.04%	6 ranked of 266 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#3,219 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.24xhits against expected	0.84x to 2.02x	214 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,602 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 3.5

Launches: 214
Hit rate: 2.3%0.5% to 4.3%
Expected rate: 1.6%
Against expected: 1.24x0.84x to 2.02x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

214 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $121
Top tenth: $3,481

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 224
Prior 12 months: 117

Change: +91%

Parent tags

ArcadeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
MinimalistNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Arcade

pairs with Arcade

Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Arcade

More with Minimalist

pairs with Minimalist

First-Person + Minimalist$60444 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
Minimalist + Logic$53692 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Minimalist$51592 launches priced, 239 releases in 12 months
Minimalist + Idler$44444 launches priced, 144 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Minimalist$38360 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Minimalist$32279 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Minimalist

Verdicts

in development

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