Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Arcade + Pixel Graphics
Arcade + Pixel Graphics
Games tagged both Arcade and Pixel Graphics: 658 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + Pixel Graphics priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + Pixel Graphics is about level with Arcade and trails Pixel Graphics: 10.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.7 in 100 for Arcade and 24.2 in 100 for Pixel Graphics.
That is about 0.5 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 48 games tagged both Arcade and Pixel Graphics priced $10 to $20. 10.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 11.9 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 25.7 in 100 for Pixel Graphics-only games, so the mix is about level with Arcade alone and trails Pixel Graphics alone.
Both: 48 games priced $10 to $20; 10.4 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 83 in 100 · $10k+ 54 in 100 · $100k+ 10 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 48 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + Pixel Graphics is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view651 of 658 launches | Without the breakout657 of 658 launches | Last 18 months174 of 658 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 65813 hits | 65113 hits | 65712 hits | 1746 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.0 in 1001 in 51 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 1.8 in 1001 in 55 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $236top tenth $7,052+ | $236 | $236 | $254 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -7.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +74.5%1.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +7.6%$18 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Pixel Graphics, 12 to 36 months old: 658 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 658 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, BALL x PIT (50.2% of the money): 657 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 174 of 658.
Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,602 of 3,624 launches | Without the breakout3,623 of 3,624 launches | Last 18 months1,016 of 3,624 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,62489 hits | 3,60288 hits | 3,62388 hits | 1,01634 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 41 | 2.4 in 1001 in 41 | 2.4 in 1001 in 41 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $221top tenth $8,880+ | $221 | $221 | $218 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -1.1%no change | +36.3%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -1.4%$3 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,624 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 22 of 3,624 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, BALL x PIT (14.9% of the money): 3,623 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,016 of 3,624.
Pixel Graphics is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Pixel Graphics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,562 of 3,756 launches | Without the breakout3,755 of 3,756 launches | Last 18 months1,106 of 3,756 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,756211 hits | 3,562193 hits | 3,755210 hits | 1,10669 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $460top tenth $32,384+ | $478 | $460 | $399 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +11.1%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.9%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -13.3%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Pixel Graphics, 12 to 36 months old: 3,756 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 194 of 3,756 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (22.7% of the money): 3,755 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,106 of 3,756.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + Pixel Graphics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.