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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Arcade + Puzzle

Niche

Arcade + Puzzle

Games tagged both Arcade and Puzzle: 519 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Arcade + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arcade and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Puzzle.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Arcade + Puzzle is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 3 of its 46 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.6 in 100 for Arcade and 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle.

Small sample: 46 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneArcade
11.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds11.6 in 100
Typical earnings$4,391
Launches346 / 40 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairArcade + Puzzle
3 of 46launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 46 launches
$1k+67 in 100
$10k+15 in 100
Launches46 / 3 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoPuzzle
14.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.3 in 100
Typical earnings$5,070
Launches684 / 98 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 46 games tagged both Arcade and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 3 of 46 of them earned $100k+, against 12.3 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 14.9 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arcade alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 46 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 46 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 67 in 100 · $10k+ 15 in 100 · $100k+ 3 of 46 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 46 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Drop Duchyleads this pair26.4%
PairDrop Duchy26.4%
ArcadeREMATCH33.7%
PuzzleBlue Prince7.4%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arcade + Puzzle

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Drop Duchy earned 26.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 519 Arcade + Puzzle launches.
  • Arcade is led by REMATCH, with 33.7% of its money.
  • Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.4% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arcade + Puzzle is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Arcade + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view517 of 519 launchesWithout the breakout518 of 519 launchesLast 18 months147 of 519 launches
Launches counted5198 hits5178 hits5187 hits1473 hits
Earned $100k+1.5 in 1001 in 651.5 in 1001 in 651.4 in 1001 in 743 of 147too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$214top tenth $3,772+$213$214$295
Chance against standardthe base+0.4%no change-12.3%0.2 fewer in 100+32.4%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base-0.5%$1 less0.0%no change+37.9%$81 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.

Launches counted
5198 hits
Earned $100k+
1.5 in 1001 in 65
Typical first-year earnings
$214top tenth $3,772+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5178 hits
Earned $100k+
1.5 in 1001 in 65
Typical first-year earnings
$213
Chance against standard
+0.4%no change
Typical against standard
-0.5%$1 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Drop Duchy (26.4% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
5187 hits
Earned $100k+
1.4 in 1001 in 74
Typical first-year earnings
$214
Chance against standard
-12.3%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 519.

Launches counted
1473 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 147too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$295
Chance against standard
+32.4%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+37.9%$81 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Drop Duchy (26.4% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 519.

Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Arcade through every lens, all prices
ArcadeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,559 of 3,583 launchesWithout the breakout3,582 of 3,583 launchesLast 18 months1,001 of 3,583 launches
Launches counted3,58389 hits3,55988 hits3,58288 hits1,00134 hits
Earned $100k+2.5 in 1001 in 402.5 in 1001 in 402.5 in 1001 in 413.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings$219top tenth $8,430+$220$219$214
Chance against standardthe base-0.5%no change-1.1%no change+36.7%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.5%$1 more0.0%no change-2.3%$5 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,583 launches.

Launches counted
3,58389 hits
Earned $100k+
2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings
$219top tenth $8,430+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,55988 hits
Earned $100k+
2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings
$220
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+0.5%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (33.7% of the money): 3,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,58288 hits
Earned $100k+
2.5 in 1001 in 41
Typical first-year earnings
$219
Chance against standard
-1.1%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,001 of 3,583.

Launches counted
1,00134 hits
Earned $100k+
3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$214
Chance against standard
+36.7%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard
-2.3%$5 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,583 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (33.7% of the money): 3,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,001 of 3,583.

Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
PuzzleBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launchesWithout the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launchesLast 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches
Launches counted5,256185 hits5,055174 hits5,255184 hits1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+3.5 in 1001 in 283.4 in 1001 in 293.5 in 1001 in 294.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings$421top tenth $14,242+$428$421$428
Chance against standardthe base-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100-0.5%no change+12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.7%$7 more0.0%no change+1.7%$7 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.

Launches counted
5,256185 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings
$421top tenth $14,242+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5,055174 hits
Earned $100k+
3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$428
Chance against standard
-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.7%$7 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
5,255184 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$421
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

Launches counted
1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+
4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings
$428
Chance against standard
+12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.7%$7 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arcade + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.