Niche

Arcade + Rhythm

Games tagged both Arcade and Rhythm: 87 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Arcade + Rhythm priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Arcade + Rhythm is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Rhythm: 2 of its 12 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.6 in 100 for Arcade and 20.6 in 100 for Rhythm.

Small sample: 12 launches, 2 hits.

TIETied

Tag oneArcade

11.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds11.6 in 100

Typical earnings$4,391

Launches346 / 40 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairArcade + Rhythm

2 of 12launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 12 launches

$1k+10 of 12 launches

$10k+6 of 12 launches

Launches12 / 2 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoRhythm

20.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.6 in 100

$1k+87 in 100

$10k+57 in 100

Launches63 / 13 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices87 in pair Under $557 in pair $5 to $1016 in pair $10 to $2012 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both Arcade and Rhythm priced $10 to $20. 2 of 12 of them earned $100k+, against 11.4 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 21.6 in 100 for Rhythm-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arcade alone and is too small to compare with Rhythm alone.

Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 12 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 10 of 12 launches · $10k+ 6 of 12 launches · $100k+ 2 of 12 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rift of the NecroDancerleads this pair71.0%

PairRift of the NecroDancer71.0%

ArcadeREMATCH33.7%

RhythmRift of the NecroDancer17.4%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arcade + Rhythm

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Rift of the NecroDancer earned 71.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 87 Arcade + Rhythm launches.
Arcade is led by REMATCH, with 33.7% of its money.
It also leads Rhythm, with 17.4% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arcade + Rhythm is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Arcade + Rhythm through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view86 of 87 launches	Without the breakout86 of 87 launches	Last 18 months19 of 87 launches
Launches counted	873 hits	863 hits	862 hits	191 hits
Earned $100k+	3 of 87too few for a rate	3 of 86too few for a rate	2 of 86too few for a rate	1 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	10 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 31 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.2%no change; too few to tell	-32.6%1.1 fewer in 100	+52.6%1.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 87 launches.

Launches counted: 873 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 87too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 10 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 31 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 863 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 86too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +1.2%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (71.0% of the money): 86 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 862 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 86too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -32.6%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 87.

Launches counted: 191 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +52.6%1.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 87 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (71.0% of the money): 86 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 87.

Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Arcade through every lens, all prices
Arcade	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,559 of 3,583 launches	Without the breakout3,582 of 3,583 launches	Last 18 months1,001 of 3,583 launches
Launches counted	3,58389 hits	3,55988 hits	3,58288 hits	1,00134 hits
Earned $100k+	2.5 in 1001 in 40	2.5 in 1001 in 40	2.5 in 1001 in 41	3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings	$219top tenth $8,430+	$220	$219	$214
Chance against standard	the base	-0.5%no change	-1.1%no change	+36.7%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.5%$1 more	0.0%no change	-2.3%$5 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,583 launches.

Launches counted: 3,58389 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings: $219top tenth $8,430+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,55988 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings: $220
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +0.5%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (33.7% of the money): 3,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,58288 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.5 in 1001 in 41
Typical first-year earnings: $219
Chance against standard: -1.1%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,001 of 3,583.

Launches counted: 1,00134 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $214
Chance against standard: +36.7%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: -2.3%$5 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,583 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (33.7% of the money): 3,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,001 of 3,583.

Rhythm holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Rhythm through every lens, all prices
Rhythm	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view339 of 357 launches	Without the breakout356 of 357 launches	Last 18 months85 of 357 launches
Launches counted	35720 hits	33920 hits	35619 hits	856 hits
Earned $100k+	5.6 in 1001 in 18	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.3 in 1001 in 19	7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$332top tenth $44,858+	$346	$332	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+5.3%0.3 more in 100	-4.7%0.3 fewer in 100	+26.0%1.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.2%$14 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 357 launches.

Launches counted: 35720 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $332top tenth $44,858+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 33920 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $346
Chance against standard: +5.3%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +4.2%$14 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (17.4% of the money): 356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35619 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $332
Chance against standard: -4.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 85 of 357.

Launches counted: 856 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +26.0%1.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 357 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (17.4% of the money): 356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 85 of 357.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arcade + Rhythm moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.