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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Arcade + Roguelike

Niche

Arcade + Roguelike

Games tagged both Arcade and Roguelike: 286 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Arcade + Roguelike priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arcade and trails Roguelike; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Roguelike.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Arcade + Roguelike is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Roguelike: 4 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.4 in 100 for Arcade and 24.9 in 100 for Roguelike.

Small sample: 27 launches, 4 hits.

TIETied
Tag oneArcade
10.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds10.4 in 100
Typical earnings$3,292
Launches346 / 36 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairArcade + Roguelike
4 of 27launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds4 of 27 launches
Typical earnings$8,356
Launches27 / 4 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoRoguelike
24.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.9 in 100
Typical earnings$16,055
Launches410 / 102 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices286 in pairUnder $5188 in pair$5 to $1066 in pair$10 to $2027 in pair$20 to $405: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Arcade and Roguelike priced $10 to $20. 4 of 27 of them earned $100k+, against 10.0 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 25.6 in 100 for Roguelike-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arcade alone and is too small to compare with Roguelike alone.

Both: 27 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 27 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,356.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Nubby's Number Factoryleads this pair34.2%
PairNubby's Number Factory34.2%
ArcadeREMATCH32.2%
RoguelikeHades II15.9%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arcade + Roguelike

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Nubby's Number Factory earned 34.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 286 Arcade + Roguelike launches.
  • Arcade is led by REMATCH, with 32.2% of its money.
  • Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 15.9% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arcade + Roguelike holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Arcade + Roguelike through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view283 of 286 launchesWithout the breakout285 of 286 launchesLast 18 months80 of 286 launches
Launches counted2866 hits2836 hits2855 hits801 hits
Earned $100k+2.1 in 1001 in 482.1 in 1001 in 471.8 in 1001 in 571 of 80too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$453top tenth $15,075+$458$421$458
Chance against standardthe base+1.1%no change-16.4%0.3 fewer in 100-40.4%0.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+1.1%$5 more-7.1%$32 less+1.1%$5 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 286 launches.

Launches counted
2866 hits
Earned $100k+
2.1 in 1001 in 48
Typical first-year earnings
$453top tenth $15,075+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 286 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
2836 hits
Earned $100k+
2.1 in 1001 in 47
Typical first-year earnings
$458
Chance against standard
+1.1%no change
Typical against standard
+1.1%$5 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Nubby's Number Factory (34.2% of the money): 285 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2855 hits
Earned $100k+
1.8 in 1001 in 57
Typical first-year earnings
$421
Chance against standard
-16.4%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-7.1%$32 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 80 of 286.

Launches counted
801 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 80too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$458
Chance against standard
-40.4%0.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+1.1%$5 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 286 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 286 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Nubby's Number Factory (34.2% of the money): 285 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 80 of 286.

Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Arcade through every lens, all prices
ArcadeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,558 of 3,582 launchesWithout the breakout3,581 of 3,582 launchesLast 18 months1,003 of 3,582 launches
Launches counted3,58281 hits3,55880 hits3,58180 hits1,00330 hits
Earned $100k+2.3 in 1001 in 442.2 in 1001 in 442.2 in 1001 in 453.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings$229top tenth $7,485+$230$229$229
Chance against standardthe base-0.6%no change-1.2%no change+32.3%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.4%$1 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,582 launches.

Launches counted
3,58281 hits
Earned $100k+
2.3 in 1001 in 44
Typical first-year earnings
$229top tenth $7,485+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,55880 hits
Earned $100k+
2.2 in 1001 in 44
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
-0.6%no change
Typical against standard
+0.4%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (32.2% of the money): 3,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,58180 hits
Earned $100k+
2.2 in 1001 in 45
Typical first-year earnings
$229
Chance against standard
-1.2%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,003 of 3,582.

Launches counted
1,00330 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$229
Chance against standard
+32.3%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,582 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (32.2% of the money): 3,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,003 of 3,582.

Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike through every lens, all prices
RoguelikeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,939 of 2,082 launchesWithout the breakout2,081 of 2,082 launchesLast 18 months639 of 2,082 launches
Launches counted2,082166 hits1,939152 hits2,081165 hits63954 hits
Earned $100k+8.0 in 1001 in 137.8 in 1001 in 137.9 in 1001 in 138.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$965top tenth $63,646+$1,065$958$1,052
Chance against standardthe base-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100-0.6%no change+6.0%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+10.4%$100 more-0.7%$7 less+9.0%$87 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.

Launches counted
2,082166 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$965top tenth $63,646+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,939152 hits
Earned $100k+
7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$1,065
Chance against standard
-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+10.4%$100 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (15.9% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2,081165 hits
Earned $100k+
7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$958
Chance against standard
-0.6%no change
Typical against standard
-0.7%$7 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 639 of 2,082.

Launches counted
63954 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,052
Chance against standard
+6.0%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+9.0%$87 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (15.9% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 639 of 2,082.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arcade + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.