Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Arcade / Shoot 'Em Up
Arcade + Shoot 'Em Up: a typical launch earns $242 in its first year
That is the median of 238 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 467 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 18.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 27% on the year before: 341 against 268.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $242 median of 238 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −50.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 341 268 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 586 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,627 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.09% | 13 ranked of 588 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,390 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.51xhits against expected | 0.35x to 0.80x | 467 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,559 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 467
- Hit rate
- 1.7%0.9% to 2.8%
- Expected rate
- 4.0%
- Against expected
- 0.51x0.35x to 0.80x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
467 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $283
- Top tenth
- $7,566
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +27%
Parent tags
- ArcadeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Shoot 'Em UpGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- BALL x PIT (opens the Steam store)2025 · 24,912 reviews, 95% positiveest. $7.2M
- R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,131 reviews, 76% positiveest. $802k
- Contra: Operation Galuga (opens the Steam store)2024 · 813 reviews, 87% positiveest. $658k
- Alien Hominid Invasion (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,570 reviews, 88% positiveest. $636k
- Alex Jones: NWO Wars (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,748 reviews, 92% positiveest. $629k
- UFO ROBOT GRENDIZER – The Feast of the Wolves (opens the Steam store)2023 · 564 reviews, 84% positiveest. $457k
- ODDCORE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,113 reviews, 96% positiveest. $293k
- Sektori (opens the Steam store)2025 · 904 reviews, 96% positiveest. $274k
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Related niches
pairs with Shoot 'Em Up- Shoot 'Em Up + Female Protagonist$1,41531 launches priced, 19 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Shoot 'Em Up$1,07266 launches priced, 98 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01145 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Action Roguelike$88794 launches priced, 143 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Score Attack$67730 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Bullet Hell$646192 launches priced, 289 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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