Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Arcade + Strategy
Games tagged both Arcade and Strategy: 383 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + Strategy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arcade and trails Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Strategy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + Strategy is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Strategy: 2 of its 45 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.6 in 100 for Arcade and 18.8 in 100 for Strategy.
Small sample: 45 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 45 games tagged both Arcade and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 2 of 45 of them earned $100k+, against 12.6 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 19.6 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arcade alone and is too small to compare with Strategy alone.
Both: 45 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 45 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 51 in 100 · $10k+ 13 in 100 · $100k+ 2 of 45 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 45 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + Strategy is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view379 of 383 launches | Without the breakout382 of 383 launches | Last 18 months142 of 383 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3838 hits | 3798 hits | 3827 hits | 1422 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.1 in 1001 in 47 | 1.8 in 1001 in 55 | 2 of 142too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $157top tenth $5,850+ | $158 | $157 | $213 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -12.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | -32.6%0.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.6%$1 more | 0.0%no change | +35.7%$56 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 383 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 383 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, UFO 50 (43.2% of the money): 382 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 142 of 383.
Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,559 of 3,583 launches | Without the breakout3,582 of 3,583 launches | Last 18 months1,001 of 3,583 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,58389 hits | 3,55988 hits | 3,58288 hits | 1,00134 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.5 in 1001 in 41 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $219top tenth $8,430+ | $220 | $219 | $214 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -1.1%no change | +36.7%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.5%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -2.3%$5 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,583 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (33.7% of the money): 3,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,001 of 3,583.
Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,307 of 4,688 launches | Without the breakout4,687 of 4,688 launches | Last 18 months1,459 of 4,688 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,688325 hits | 4,307297 hits | 4,687324 hits | 1,459107 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $439top tenth $49,022+ | $496 | $439 | $521 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +5.8%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +13.0%$57 more | 0.0%no change | +18.7%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,688 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,688 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (15.2% of the money): 4,687 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,459 of 4,688.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.