Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Arcade + Stylized: a typical launch earns $162 in its first year
That is the median of 111 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 249 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 71% on the year before: 255 against 149.
- Price
- $162 median of 111 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −48.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 255 149 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 500 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,304 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.14%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.11% to 0.18% | 29 ranked of 500 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,375 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.78xhits against expected | 0.53x to 1.24x | 249 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,273 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 249
- Hit rate
- 2.4%0.9% to 4.0%
- Expected rate
- 3.5%
- Against expected
- 0.78x0.53x to 1.24x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
249 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $182
- Top tenth
- $5,779
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +71%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Nubby's Number Factory (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18,212 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.8M
- iRacing Arcade (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,212 reviews, 72% positiveest. $613k
- Children of the Sun (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,010 reviews, 92% positiveest. $610k
- NBA THE RUN (opens the Steam store)2026 · 909 reviews, 67% positiveest. $552k
- KILL KNIGHT (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,816 reviews, 93% positiveest. $551k
- Formula Legends (opens the Steam store)2025 · 875 reviews, 82% positiveest. $354k
- Aero GPX (opens the Steam store)2024 · 749 reviews, 97% positiveest. $303k
- DoDonPachi Resurrection Reignite (opens the Steam store)2026 · 157 reviews, 42% positiveest. $79k
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Stylized
pairs with Stylized- Roguelite + Stylized$2,12543 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Stylized$1,48650 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Stylized$1,26334 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Stylized$1,01141 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Stylized + Linear$75830 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Stylized + 2D Platformer$70731 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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