Niche

Arena Shooter + Roguelike

Games tagged both Arena Shooter and Roguelike: 78 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Arena Shooter + Roguelike priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Arena Shooter + Roguelike is too small to compare with Arena Shooter and is too small to compare with Roguelike: 0 of its 52 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 306 launches for Arena Shooter and 0.5 in 100 for Roguelike.

Small sample: 52 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneArena Shooter

1 of 306launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 306 launches

Typical earnings$116

Launches306 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairArena Shooter + Roguelike

0 of 52launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 52 launches

$1k+31 in 100

$10k+13 in 100

Launches52 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoRoguelike

0.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 203

Typical earnings$171

Launches1,016 / 5 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices78 in pair Under $552 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair$10 to $205: too few$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 52 games tagged both Arena Shooter and Roguelike priced under $5. 0 of 52 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 254 for Arena Shooter-only games and 0.5 in 100 for Roguelike-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arena Shooter alone and is too small to compare with Roguelike alone.

Both: 52 games priced under $5; 0 of 52 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 31 in 100 · $10k+ 13 in 100 · $100k+ 0 of 52 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 52 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Noobs Are Comingleads this pair32.5%

PairNoobs Are Coming32.5%

Arena ShooterDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor46.8%

RoguelikeHades II16.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arena Shooter + Roguelike

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Noobs Are Coming earned 32.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 78 Arena Shooter + Roguelike launches.
Arena Shooter is led by Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor, with 46.8% of its money.
Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 16.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arena Shooter + Roguelike holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Arena Shooter + Roguelike through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view78 of 78 launches	Without the breakout77 of 78 launches	Last 18 months19 of 78 launches
Launches counted	782 hits	782 hits	771 hits	191 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 78too few for a rate	2 of 78too few for a rate	1 of 77too few for a rate	1 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	17 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 45 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-49.4%1.3 fewer in 100	+105.3%2.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 78 launches.

Launches counted: 782 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 78too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 17 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 45 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 782 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 78too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Noobs Are Coming (32.5% of the money): 77 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 771 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 77too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -49.4%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 78.

Launches counted: 191 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +105.3%2.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 78 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Noobs Are Coming (32.5% of the money): 77 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 78.

Arena Shooter is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Arena Shooter through every lens, all prices
Arena Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view516 of 519 launches	Without the breakout518 of 519 launches	Last 18 months131 of 519 launches
Launches counted	51915 hits	51614 hits	51814 hits	1312 hits
Earned $100k+	2.9 in 1001 in 35	2.7 in 1001 in 37	2.7 in 1001 in 37	2 of 131too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$286top tenth $12,621+	$286	$286	$295
Chance against standard	the base	-6.1%0.2 fewer in 100	-6.5%0.2 fewer in 100	-47.2%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+3.1%$9 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.

Launches counted: 51915 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.9 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings: $286top tenth $12,621+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51614 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $286
Chance against standard: -6.1%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (46.8% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 51814 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $286
Chance against standard: -6.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 131 of 519.

Launches counted: 1312 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 131too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -47.2%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +3.1%$9 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (46.8% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 131 of 519.

Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike through every lens, all prices
Roguelike	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,939 of 2,082 launches	Without the breakout2,081 of 2,082 launches	Last 18 months640 of 2,082 launches
Launches counted	2,082179 hits	1,939165 hits	2,081178 hits	64056 hits
Earned $100k+	8.6 in 1001 in 12	8.5 in 1001 in 12	8.6 in 1001 in 12	8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,034top tenth $75,603+	$1,112	$1,032	$1,053
Chance against standard	the base	-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.5%no change	+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+7.5%$78 more	-0.2%$2 less	+1.8%$19 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.

Launches counted: 2,082179 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,034top tenth $75,603+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,939165 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,112
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +7.5%$78 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,081178 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,032
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: -0.2%$2 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

Launches counted: 64056 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,053
Chance against standard: +1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.8%$19 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arena Shooter + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.