Niche

Arena Shooter + Top-Down

Games tagged both Arena Shooter and Top-Down: 57 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Arena Shooter + Top-Down priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Arena Shooter + Top-Down is too small to compare with Arena Shooter and is too small to compare with Top-Down: 0 of its 35 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 305 launches for Arena Shooter and 2 of 1,090 launches for Top-Down.

Small sample: 35 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneArena Shooter

1 of 305launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 305 launches

Typical earnings$115

Launches305 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairArena Shooter + Top-Down

0 of 35launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 35 launches

Typical earnings$169

Launches35 / 0 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagTop-Down

2 of 1,090launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 1,090 launches

Typical earnings$113

Launches1,090 / 2 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Top-Down is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices57 in pair Under $535 in pair $5 to $1018 in pair$10 to $203: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 35 games tagged both Arena Shooter and Top-Down priced under $5. 0 of 35 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 270 for Arena Shooter-only games and 2 of 1,055 for Top-Down-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arena Shooter alone and is too small to compare with Top-Down alone.

Both: 35 games priced under $5; 0 of 35 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $169.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 35 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivorleads this pair95.4%

PairDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor95.4%

Arena ShooterDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor45.6%

Top-DownDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor20.7%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arena Shooter + Top-Down

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor earned 95.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 57 Arena Shooter + Top-Down launches.
It also leads Arena Shooter, with 45.6% of that tag's money.
It also leads Top-Down, with 20.7% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arena Shooter + Top-Down is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Arena Shooter + Top-Down through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view57 of 57 launches	Without the breakout56 of 57 launches	Last 18 months11 of 57 launches
Launches counted	572 hits	572 hits	561 hits	110 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 57too few for a rate	2 of 57too few for a rate	1 of 56too few for a rate	0 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$202top tenth $11,990+	$202	$202	$191
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-49.1%1.7 fewer in 100	-100.0%3.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	-5.4%$11 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 57 launches.

Launches counted: 572 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 57too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $202top tenth $11,990+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 57 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 572 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 57too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $202
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (95.4% of the money): 56 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 561 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 56too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $202
Chance against standard: -49.1%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 57.

Launches counted: 110 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $191
Chance against standard: -100.0%3.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -5.4%$11 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 57 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 57 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (95.4% of the money): 56 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 57.

Arena Shooter is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Arena Shooter through every lens, all prices
Arena Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view515 of 518 launches	Without the breakout517 of 518 launches	Last 18 months130 of 518 launches
Launches counted	51813 hits	51512 hits	51712 hits	1301 hits
Earned $100k+	2.5 in 1001 in 40	2.3 in 1001 in 43	2.3 in 1001 in 43	1 of 130too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$269top tenth $11,990+	$269	$268	$306
Chance against standard	the base	-7.2%0.2 fewer in 100	-7.5%0.2 fewer in 100	-69.3%1.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-0.4%$1 less	+13.8%$37 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 518 launches.

Launches counted: 51813 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings: $269top tenth $11,990+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51512 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.3 in 1001 in 43
Typical first-year earnings: $269
Chance against standard: -7.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (45.6% of the money): 517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 51712 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.3 in 1001 in 43
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: -7.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 130 of 518.

Launches counted: 1301 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 130too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $306
Chance against standard: -69.3%1.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +13.8%$37 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 518 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (45.6% of the money): 517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 130 of 518.

Top-Down is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Top-Down through every lens, all prices
Top-Down	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,776 of 1,859 launches	Without the breakout1,858 of 1,859 launches	Last 18 months506 of 1,859 launches
Launches counted	1,85951 hits	1,77643 hits	1,85850 hits	50612 hits
Earned $100k+	2.7 in 1001 in 36	2.4 in 1001 in 41	2.7 in 1001 in 37	2.4 in 1001 in 42
Typical first-year earnings	$270top tenth $7,663+	$284	$270	$191
Chance against standard	the base	-11.7%0.3 fewer in 100	-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-13.6%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.2%$14 more	0.0%no change	-29.3%$79 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,859 launches.

Launches counted: 1,85951 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings: $270top tenth $7,663+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 83 of 1,859 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,77643 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.4 in 1001 in 41
Typical first-year earnings: $284
Chance against standard: -11.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.2%$14 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (20.7% of the money): 1,858 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,85850 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $270
Chance against standard: -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 506 of 1,859.

Launches counted: 50612 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.4 in 1001 in 42
Typical first-year earnings: $191
Chance against standard: -13.6%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -29.3%$79 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,859 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 83 of 1,859 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (20.7% of the money): 1,858 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 506 of 1,859.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arena Shooter + Top-Down moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.