Niche

Auto Battler + Casual

Games tagged both Auto Battler and Casual: 125 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Auto Battler + Casual priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Auto Battler + Casual is too small to compare with Auto Battler and is too small to compare with Casual: 0 of its 89 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 179 launches for Auto Battler and 0.5 in 100 for Casual.

Small sample: 89 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneAuto Battler

1 of 179launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 179 launches

Typical earnings$213

Launches179 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairAuto Battler + Casual

0 of 89launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 89 launches

Typical earnings$113

Launches89 / 0 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagCasual

0.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 217

Typical earnings$117

Launches6,289 / 29 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices125 in pair Under $589 in pair $5 to $1028 in pair$10 to $207: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 89 games tagged both Auto Battler and Casual priced under $5. 0 of 89 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 90 for Auto Battler-only games and 0.5 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Auto Battler alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 89 games priced under $5; 0 of 89 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $113.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 89 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Cauldronleads this pair40.6%

PairCauldron40.6%

Auto BattlerThe Bazaar27.3%

CasualHouse Flipper 23.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Auto Battler + Casual

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Cauldron earned 40.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 125 Auto Battler + Casual launches.
Auto Battler is led by The Bazaar, with 27.3% of its money.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Auto Battler + Casual holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Auto Battler + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view118 of 125 launches	Without the breakout124 of 125 launches	Last 18 months40 of 125 launches
Launches counted	1252 hits	1182 hits	1241 hits	402 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 125too few for a rate	2 of 118too few for a rate	1 of 124too few for a rate	2 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$334top tenth $14,572+	$344	$334	$383
Chance against standard	the base	+5.9%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell	-49.6%0.8 fewer in 100	+212.5%3.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+3.0%$10 more	0.0%no change	+14.7%$49 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Auto Battler and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 125 launches.

Launches counted: 1252 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 125too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $334top tenth $14,572+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 125 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1182 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 118too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $344
Chance against standard: +5.9%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +3.0%$10 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Cauldron (40.6% of the money): 124 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1241 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 124too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $334
Chance against standard: -49.6%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 40 of 125.

Launches counted: 402 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $383
Chance against standard: +212.5%3.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +14.7%$49 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Auto Battler and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 125 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 125 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Cauldron (40.6% of the money): 124 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 40 of 125.

Auto Battler is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Auto Battler through every lens, all prices
Auto Battler	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view339 of 359 launches	Without the breakout358 of 359 launches	Last 18 months116 of 359 launches
Launches counted	35921 hits	33918 hits	35820 hits	1169 hits
Earned $100k+	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.3 in 1001 in 19	5.6 in 1001 in 18	7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$1,147top tenth $51,064+	$1,315	$1,147	$1,378
Chance against standard	the base	-9.2%0.5 fewer in 100	-4.5%0.3 fewer in 100	+32.6%1.9 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+14.6%$168 more	0.0%no change	+20.1%$231 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Auto Battler, 12 to 36 months old: 359 launches.

Launches counted: 35921 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,147top tenth $51,064+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 359 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 33918 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $1,315
Chance against standard: -9.2%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +14.6%$168 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Bazaar (27.3% of the money): 358 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35820 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,147
Chance against standard: -4.5%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 116 of 359.

Launches counted: 1169 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,378
Chance against standard: +32.6%1.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: +20.1%$231 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Auto Battler, 12 to 36 months old: 359 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 359 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Bazaar (27.3% of the money): 358 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 116 of 359.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launches	Without the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launches	Last 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches
Launches counted	9,751259 hits	9,211240 hits	9,750258 hits	2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+	2.7 in 1001 in 38	2.6 in 1001 in 38	2.6 in 1001 in 38	3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings	$253top tenth $8,786+	$257	$253	$230
Chance against standard	the base	-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.4%no change	+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.6%$4 more	0.0%no change	-9.1%$23 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.

Launches counted: 9,751259 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $253top tenth $8,786+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,211240 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $257
Chance against standard: -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.6%$4 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,750258 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $253
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

Launches counted: 2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $230
Chance against standard: +37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: -9.1%$23 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Auto Battler + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.