Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Bullet Heaven + Roguelite
Bullet Heaven + Roguelite
Games tagged both Bullet Heaven and Roguelite: 101 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Bullet Heaven + Roguelite priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Bullet Heaven + Roguelite beats both its tags: 7 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 9 of 22 launches for Bullet Heaven and 24.1 in 100 for Roguelite.
Small sample: 15 launches, 7 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Bullet Heaven and Roguelite priced $10 to $20. 46.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 28.6 for Bullet Heaven-only games and 23.3 for Roguelite-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 46.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $19,731.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Bullet Heaven + Roguelite holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view98 of 101 launches | Without the breakout100 of 101 launches | Last 18 months60 of 101 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 10119 hits | 9819 hits | 10018 hits | 609 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.8 in 100 | 19.4 in 100 | 18.0 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $7,927top tenth $297,661+ | $8,286 | $7,927 | $7,927 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.2%0.6 more in 100 | -4.3%0.8 fewer in 100 | -20.2%3.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.5%$359 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Heaven and Roguelite, 6 to 30 months old: 101 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 101 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Megabonk (60.8% of the money): 100 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 60 of 101.
Bullet Heaven is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Bullet Heaven | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view138 of 141 launches | Without the breakout140 of 141 launches | Last 18 months91 of 141 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 14121 hits | 13821 hits | 14020 hits | 9110 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 14.9 in 100 | 15.2 in 100 | 14.3 in 100 | 11.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $7,278top tenth $265,971+ | $7,376 | $7,278 | $6,313 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.0%0.3 more in 100 | -4.0%0.6 fewer in 100 | -26.2%3.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +1.3%$98 more | 0.0%no change | -13.3%$965 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Heaven, 6 to 30 months old: 141 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 141 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Megabonk (58.0% of the money): 140 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 91 of 141.
Roguelite holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Roguelite | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,237 of 2,395 launches | Without the breakout2,394 of 2,395 launches | Last 18 months1,402 of 2,395 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,395182 hits | 2,237171 hits | 2,394181 hits | 1,40299 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,131top tenth $64,967+ | $1,213 | $1,131 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.6%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.3%$82 more | 0.0%no change | -19.6%$222 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 6 to 30 months old: 2,395 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 158 of 2,395 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (20.9% of the money): 2,394 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,402 of 2,395.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Bullet Heaven + Roguelite moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.