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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / Bullet Hell + Linear

Niche

Bullet Hell + Linear

Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Linear: 40 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Bullet Hell + Linear priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Bullet Hell + Linear is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with Linear: 0 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.9 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 3 of 677 launches for Linear.

Small sample: 27 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneBullet Hell
0.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 106
Typical earnings$218
Launches848 / 8 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairBullet Hell + Linear
0 of 27launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds0 of 27 launches
$1k+3 of 27 launches
$10k+0 of 27 launches
Launches27 / 0 hits
Expected0.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twomood tagLinear
3 of 677launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 677 launches
Typical earnings$180
Launches677 / 3 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Linear is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices40 in pairUnder $527 in pair$5 to $1011 in pair$10 to $202: too few$20 to $40no launches
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Linear priced under $5. 0 of 27 of them earned $100k+, against 1.0 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 3 of 650 for Linear-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone and is too small to compare with Linear alone.

Both: 27 games priced under $5; 0 of 27 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 3 of 27 launches · $10k+ 0 of 27 launches · $100k+ 0 of 27 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part IIIleads this pair69.4%
PairTouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III69.4%
Bullet HellDELTARUNE44.3%
LinearSpilled!9.8%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Bullet Hell + Linear

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III earned 69.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 40 Bullet Hell + Linear launches.
  • Bullet Hell is led by DELTARUNE, with 44.3% of its money.
  • Linear is led by Spilled!, with 9.8% of its money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Bullet Hell + Linear is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Bullet Hell + Linear through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view37 of 40 launchesWithout the breakout39 of 40 launchesLast 18 months11 of 40 launches
Launches counted401 hits370 hits390 hits111 hits
Earned $100k+1 of 40too few for a rate0 of 37too few for a rate0 of 39too few for a rate1 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+3 of 40 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 33 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base-100.0%2.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell-100.0%2.5 fewer in 100+263.6%6.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Linear, 12 to 36 months old: 40 launches.

Launches counted
401 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 40too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
3 of 40 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 33 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
370 hits
Earned $100k+
0 of 37too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-100.0%2.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III (69.4% of the money): 39 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
390 hits
Earned $100k+
0 of 39too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-100.0%2.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 40.

Launches counted
111 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+263.6%6.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Linear, 12 to 36 months old: 40 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III (69.4% of the money): 39 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 40.

Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Bullet Hell through every lens, all prices
Bullet HellBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,321 of 1,380 launchesWithout the breakout1,379 of 1,380 launchesLast 18 months382 of 1,380 launches
Launches counted1,38059 hits1,32153 hits1,37958 hits38220 hits
Earned $100k+4.3 in 1001 in 234.0 in 1001 in 254.2 in 1001 in 245.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$473top tenth $25,883+$486$472$454
Chance against standardthe base-6.2%0.3 fewer in 100-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100+22.5%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.7%$13 more-0.2%$1 less-4.0%$19 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,380 launches.

Launches counted
1,38059 hits
Earned $100k+
4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$473top tenth $25,883+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 59 of 1,380 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,32153 hits
Earned $100k+
4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings
$486
Chance against standard
-6.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.7%$13 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (44.3% of the money): 1,379 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,37958 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$472
Chance against standard
-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.2%$1 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,380.

Launches counted
38220 hits
Earned $100k+
5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$454
Chance against standard
+22.5%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
-4.0%$19 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,380 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 59 of 1,380 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (44.3% of the money): 1,379 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,380.

Linear is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Linear through every lens, all prices
LinearBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,042 of 1,070 launchesWithout the breakout1,069 of 1,070 launchesLast 18 months313 of 1,070 launches
Launches counted1,07012 hits1,04210 hits1,06911 hits3135 hits
Earned $100k+1.1 in 1001 in 891.0 in 1001 in 1041.0 in 1001 in 971.6 in 1001 in 63
Typical first-year earnings$321top tenth $6,358+$325$313$273
Chance against standardthe base-14.4%0.2 fewer in 100-8.2%0.1 fewer in 100+42.4%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.2%$4 more-2.5%$8 less-15.0%$48 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Linear, 12 to 36 months old: 1,070 launches.

Launches counted
1,07012 hits
Earned $100k+
1.1 in 1001 in 89
Typical first-year earnings
$321top tenth $6,358+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 1,070 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,04210 hits
Earned $100k+
1.0 in 1001 in 104
Typical first-year earnings
$325
Chance against standard
-14.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.2%$4 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Spilled! (9.8% of the money): 1,069 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,06911 hits
Earned $100k+
1.0 in 1001 in 97
Typical first-year earnings
$313
Chance against standard
-8.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.5%$8 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 1,070.

Launches counted
3135 hits
Earned $100k+
1.6 in 1001 in 63
Typical first-year earnings
$273
Chance against standard
+42.4%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
-15.0%$48 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Linear, 12 to 36 months old: 1,070 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 1,070 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Spilled! (9.8% of the money): 1,069 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 1,070.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Bullet Hell + Linear moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.