Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Bullet Hell + Survival
Bullet Hell + Survival
Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Survival: 104 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Bullet Hell + Survival priced under $5.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Bullet Hell + Survival is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with Survival: 0 of its 68 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1.0 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 0 of 480 launches for Survival.
Small sample: 68 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 68 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Survival priced under $5. 0 of 68 of them earned $100k+, against 1.0 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 0 of 412 for Survival-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone and is too small to compare with Survival alone.
Both: 68 games priced under $5; 0 of 68 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 25 in 100 · $10k+ 7 in 100 · $100k+ 0 of 68 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 68 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Bullet Hell + Survival is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view100 of 104 launches | Without the breakout103 of 104 launches | Last 18 months23 of 104 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1044 hits | 1004 hits | 1033 hits | 231 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4 of 104too few for a rate | 4 of 100too few for a rate | 3 of 103too few for a rate | 1 of 23too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $709top tenth $35,589+ | $729 | $690 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.0%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell | -24.3%0.9 fewer in 100 | +13.0%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.8%$20 more | -2.7%$19 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 104 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 104 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Megabonk (95.1% of the money): 103 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 104.
Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Bullet Hell | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,301 of 1,357 launches | Without the breakout1,356 of 1,357 launches | Last 18 months377 of 1,357 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,35758 hits | 1,30151 hits | 1,35657 hits | 37718 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $477top tenth $24,691+ | $503 | $477 | $536 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -8.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +11.7%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.5%$26 more | 0.0%no change | +12.4%$59 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.
Survival holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Survival | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view975 of 1,018 launches | Without the breakout1,017 of 1,018 launches | Last 18 months269 of 1,018 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,018105 hits | 975102 hits | 1,017104 hits | 26923 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.3 in 100 | 10.5 in 100 | 10.2 in 100 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,115top tenth $107,290+ | $1,138 | $1,095 | $1,068 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.1%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.1%$23 more | -1.8%$20 less | -4.2%$47 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 1,018 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 43 of 1,018 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (39.6% of the money): 1,017 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 269 of 1,018.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Bullet Hell + Survival moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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