Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Bullet Hell + Top-Down
Bullet Hell + Top-Down
Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down: 264 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Bullet Hell + Top-Down priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Bullet Hell and is level with Top-Down; priced $10 to $20 it trails Bullet Hell and beats Top-Down.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Bullet Hell + Top-Down trails Bullet Hell and beats Top-Down: 2 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.1 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 14.0 in 100 for Top-Down.
Small sample: 13 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down priced $10 to $20. 15.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.3 for Bullet Hell-only games and 13.9 for Top-Down-only games, so the mix trails Bullet Hell alone and beats Top-Down alone.
Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 15.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,310.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Bullet Hell + Top-Down holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view251 of 264 launches | Without the breakout263 of 264 launches | Last 18 months142 of 264 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2647 hits | 2516 hits | 2636 hits | 1424 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.3 in 1001 in 43 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $6,073+ | $303 | $303 | $261 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -11.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -14.8%0.4 fewer in 100 | +3.7%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -13.9%$42 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down, 6 to 30 months old: 264 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 264 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, BALL x PIT (63.7% of the money): 263 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 142 of 264.
Bullet Hell holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Bullet Hell | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,438 of 1,496 launches | Without the breakout1,495 of 1,496 launches | Last 18 months814 of 1,496 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,49651 hits | 1,43847 hits | 1,49550 hits | 81426 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $17,693+ | $505 | $485 | $425 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.9%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -4.0%$20 less | -15.8%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 6 to 30 months old: 1,496 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 58 of 1,496 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (50.9% of the money): 1,495 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 814 of 1,496.
Top-Down is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Top-Down | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,975 of 2,055 launches | Without the breakout2,054 of 2,055 launches | Last 18 months1,144 of 2,055 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,05561 hits | 1,97554 hits | 2,05460 hits | 1,14432 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $301top tenth $9,109+ | $303 | $301 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -10.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | -3.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.7%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -32.9%$99 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 6 to 30 months old: 2,055 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 2,055 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Shape of Dreams (16.8% of the money): 2,054 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,144 of 2,055.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Bullet Hell + Top-Down moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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