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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Card Battler + Casual

Niche

Card Battler + Casual

Games tagged both Card Battler and Casual: 139 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Card Battler + Casual priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Card Battler + Casual is too small to compare with Card Battler and is too small to compare with Casual: 0 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 25.0 in 100 for Card Battler and 11.4 in 100 for Casual.

Small sample: 24 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie
25.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds25.0 in 100
Typical earnings$17,887
Launches148 / 37 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairCard Battler + Casual
0 of 24launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds0 of 24 launches
Typical earnings$1,620
Launches24 / 0 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIETied
Tag twomood tagCasual
11.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds11.4 in 100
Typical earnings$2,971
Launches1,009 / 115 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Card Battler and Casual priced $10 to $20. 0 of 24 of them earned $100k+, against 29.8 in 100 for Card Battler-only games and 11.7 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Card Battler alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 24 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $1,620.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Oobletsleads this pair29.2%
PairOoblets29.2%
Card Battler9 Kings24.4%
CasualHouse Flipper 23.8%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Card Battler + Casual

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Ooblets earned 29.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 139 Card Battler + Casual launches.
  • Card Battler is led by 9 Kings, with 24.4% of its money.
  • Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.8% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Card Battler + Casual is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout.

Card Battler + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view119 of 139 launchesWithout the breakout138 of 139 launchesLast 18 months43 of 139 launches
Launches counted1394 hits1194 hits1383 hits431 hits
Earned $100k+4 of 139too few for a rate4 of 119too few for a rate3 of 138too few for a rate1 of 43too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$191top tenth $24,976+$304$191$536
Chance against standardthe base+16.8%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell-24.5%0.7 fewer in 100-19.2%0.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+59.2%$113 more0.0%no change+180.6%$345 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Battler and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 139 launches.

Launches counted
1394 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 139too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$191top tenth $24,976+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 139 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1194 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 119too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$304
Chance against standard
+16.8%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+59.2%$113 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Ooblets (29.2% of the money): 138 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1383 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 138too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$191
Chance against standard
-24.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 43 of 139.

Launches counted
431 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 43too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$536
Chance against standard
-19.2%0.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+180.6%$345 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Battler and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 139 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 139 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Ooblets (29.2% of the money): 138 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 43 of 139.

Card Battler is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Card Battler through every lens, all prices
Card BattlerBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view466 of 520 launchesWithout the breakout519 of 520 launchesLast 18 months170 of 520 launches
Launches counted52047 hits46642 hits51946 hits17017 hits
Earned $100k+9.0 in 1001 in 119.0 in 1001 in 118.9 in 1001 in 1110.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,114top tenth $77,694+$1,291$1,104$1,437
Chance against standardthe base-0.3%no change-1.9%0.2 fewer in 100+10.6%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+15.9%$177 more-0.9%$10 less+29.0%$323 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Card Battler, 12 to 36 months old: 520 launches.

Launches counted
52047 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,114top tenth $77,694+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 54 of 520 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
46642 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,291
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
+15.9%$177 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, 9 Kings (24.4% of the money): 519 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
51946 hits
Earned $100k+
8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,104
Chance against standard
-1.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.9%$10 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 170 of 520.

Launches counted
17017 hits
Earned $100k+
10.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,437
Chance against standard
+10.6%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
+29.0%$323 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Battler, 12 to 36 months old: 520 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 54 of 520 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, 9 Kings (24.4% of the money): 519 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 170 of 520.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
CasualBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launchesWithout the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launchesLast 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches
Launches counted9,751259 hits9,211240 hits9,750258 hits2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+2.7 in 1001 in 382.6 in 1001 in 382.6 in 1001 in 383.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings$253top tenth $8,786+$257$253$230
Chance against standardthe base-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.4%no change+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.6%$4 more0.0%no change-9.1%$23 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.

Launches counted
9,751259 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$253top tenth $8,786+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
9,211240 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$257
Chance against standard
-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.6%$4 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
9,750258 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$253
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

Launches counted
2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+
3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
-9.1%$23 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Card Battler + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.