Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Card Game + 3D: a typical launch earns $140 in its first year
That is the median of 49 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 101 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 45% on the year before: 100 against 69.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $140 median of 49 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −65.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 100 69 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 287 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 585 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.13% | 13 ranked of 287 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,996 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.81xhits against expected | 0.56x to 1.35x | 101 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,006 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 101
- Hit rate
- 4.0%1.1% to 10.6%
- Expected rate
- 5.6%
- Against expected
- 0.81x0.56x to 1.35x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
101 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $283
- Top tenth
- $15,146
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +45%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Poker Night at the Inventory (opens the Steam store)2026 · 8,186 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.7M
- Demonic Mahjong (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,895 reviews, 95% positiveest. $900k
- Beastro (opens the Steam store)2026 · 608 reviews, 92% positiveest. $246k
- Mamon King (opens the Steam store)2025 · 604 reviews, 90% positiveest. $159k
- Bogos Binted? (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,139 reviews, 91% positiveest. $127k
- CD 2: Trap Master (opens the Steam store)2023 · 330 reviews, 79% positiveest. $100k
- Pirate's Gambit (opens the Steam store)2026 · 447 reviews, 89% positiveest. $90k
- Entertainment Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 182 reviews, 73% positiveest. $70k
More with Card Game
pairs with Card Game- Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,32394 launches priced, 164 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Auto Battler$2,67141 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelite$2,214162 launches priced, 351 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Dungeon Crawler$1,96232 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelike$1,821201 launches priced, 431 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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