Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder: a typical launch earns $6,323 in its first year

That is the median of 94 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 27 of 199 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 20.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 58% on the year before: 164 against 104.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $6,323
Price vs a year earlier: −21.1%
Releases, 12 months: 164
Upcoming games: 527
Games on the store: 997

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.16%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.12% to 0.20%	34 ranked of 527 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,236 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	1.27xhits against expected	0.97x to 1.65x	199 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,939 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−35%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−48% to −13%	44 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,237 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−25%review growth against same-age games	−34% to −15%	44 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,571 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 27
Expected: 20.6

Launches: 199
Hit rate: 13.6%8.7% to 21.6%
Expected rate: 10.4%
Against expected: 1.27x0.97x to 1.65x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

199 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $132
Median: $7,080
Top tenth: $199,284

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 164
Prior 12 months: 104

Change: +58%
Against Steam: +16%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Card GameGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Roguelike DeckbuilderGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Card Game

pairs with Card Game

Card Game + Auto Battler$2,67141 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Roguelite$2,214162 launches priced, 351 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Dungeon Crawler$1,96232 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Roguelike$1,821201 launches priced, 431 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Turn-Based Combat$1,60648 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Card Game

More with Roguelike Deckbuilder

pairs with Roguelike Deckbuilder

Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Combat + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,69931 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,25299 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
Deckbuilding + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,092105 launches priced, 232 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Roguelike Deckbuilder

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.