Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Card Game + Deckbuilding
Card Game + Deckbuilding
Games tagged both Card Game and Deckbuilding: 389 indie paid launches, 46 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Game + Deckbuilding priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Game + Deckbuilding beats Card Game and is about level with Deckbuilding: 26.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.7 in 100 for Card Game and 28.9 in 100 for Deckbuilding.
That is about 1.3 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 121 games tagged both Card Game and Deckbuilding priced $10 to $20. 26.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.1 in 100 for Card Game-only games and 34.6 in 100 for Deckbuilding-only games, so the mix beats Card Game alone and trails Deckbuilding alone.
Both: 121 games priced $10 to $20; 26.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $27,134.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 121 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Game + Deckbuilding holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view358 of 389 launches | Without the breakout388 of 389 launches | Last 18 months134 of 389 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 38946 hits | 35841 hits | 38845 hits | 13417 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.8 in 100 | 11.5 in 100 | 11.6 in 100 | 12.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,184top tenth $147,978+ | $2,433 | $2,184 | $2,081 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.2%0.4 fewer in 100 | -1.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | +7.3%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +11.4%$249 more | 0.0%no change | -4.7%$103 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Game and Deckbuilding, 12 to 36 months old: 389 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 389 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (43.0% of the money): 388 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 134 of 389.
Card Game is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view833 of 935 launches | Without the breakout934 of 935 launches | Last 18 months302 of 935 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 93566 hits | 83358 hits | 93465 hits | 30224 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $580top tenth $57,067+ | $650 | $580 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +12.6%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.1%$70 more | 0.0%no change | +29.3%$170 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 935 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 102 of 935 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (29.4% of the money): 934 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 302 of 935.
Deckbuilding holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view566 of 608 launches | Without the breakout607 of 608 launches | Last 18 months210 of 608 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 60869 hits | 56664 hits | 60768 hits | 21023 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.3 in 100 | 11.3 in 100 | 11.2 in 100 | 11.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,340top tenth $127,250+ | $2,604 | $2,272 | $2,081 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.4%no change | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.5%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +11.3%$264 more | -2.9%$68 less | -11.1%$259 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 12 to 36 months old: 608 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 608 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (38.1% of the money): 607 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 210 of 608.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Game + Deckbuilding moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.