Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Card Game + PvP: a typical launch earns $809 in its first year
That is the median of 34 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 69 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 78% on the year before: 135 against 76.
- Mostly free-to-play
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $809 median of 34 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +33.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 135 76 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 324 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 693 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.09% | 12 ranked of 324 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #6,130 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.81xhits against expected | 0.57x to 1.38x | 69 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #6,197 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −23%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −43% to −4% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,068 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −2%review growth against same-age games | −15% to +15% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #912 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 69
- Hit rate
- 4.3%0.0% to 11.5%
- Expected rate
- 6.3%
- Against expected
- 0.81x0.57x to 1.38x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
69 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $485
- Top tenth
- $33,138
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +78%
- Against Steam
- +28%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Bazaar (opens the Steam store)2025 · 15,044 reviews, 69% positiveest. $5M
- Ticket to Ride® (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,060 reviews, 69% positiveest. $322k
- WARCANA (opens the Steam store)2024 · 443 reviews, 62% positiveest. $152k
- Bogos Binted? (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,139 reviews, 91% positiveest. $127k
- Duelists of Eden (opens the Steam store)2024 · 857 reviews, 95% positiveest. $87k
- Grail (opens the Steam store)2026 · 401 reviews, 86% positiveest. $81k
- hololive Holo's Hanafuda (opens the Steam store)2025 · 152 reviews, 80% positiveest. $77k
- Anode Heart: Layer Null (opens the Steam store)2024 · 228 reviews, 91% positiveest. $74k
More with Card Game
pairs with Card Game- Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,32394 launches priced, 164 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Auto Battler$2,67141 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelite$2,214162 launches priced, 351 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Dungeon Crawler$1,96232 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelike$1,821201 launches priced, 431 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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