Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Card Game + RPG
Games tagged both Card Game and RPG: 184 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Game + RPG priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Game + RPG beats both its tags: 23.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.4 in 100 for Card Game and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.
That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both Card Game and RPG priced $10 to $20. 23.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.3 for Card Game-only games and 18.3 for RPG-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 23.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $21,859.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Game + RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view164 of 184 launches | Without the breakout183 of 184 launches | Last 18 months104 of 184 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 18416 hits | 16414 hits | 18315 hits | 1049 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $607top tenth $73,826+ | $607 | $607 | $526 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -5.7%0.5 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -13.3%$81 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Game and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 184 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 184 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (45.6% of the money): 183 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 104 of 184.
Card Game holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,021 of 1,120 launches | Without the breakout1,119 of 1,120 launches | Last 18 months661 of 1,120 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,12068 hits | 1,02159 hits | 1,11967 hits | 66138 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $49,543+ | $607 | $566 | $486 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.9%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.6%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | -6.6%$40 less | -19.8%$120 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 6 to 30 months old: 1,120 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 99 of 1,120 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (48.4% of the money): 1,119 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 661 of 1,120.
RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launches | Without the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launches | Last 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,151319 hits | 3,513268 hits | 4,150318 hits | 2,257162 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $708top tenth $62,744+ | $728 | $708 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$101 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Game + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.