Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +2. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cartoon + Strategy
Games tagged both Cartoon and Strategy: 129 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoon + Strategy priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoon + Strategy trails both its tags: 2 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.1 in 100 for Cartoon and 16.5 in 100 for Strategy.
Small sample: 21 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both Cartoon and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 9.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.1 for Cartoon-only games and 16.6 for Strategy-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 9.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $5,099.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +2. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoon + Strategy is one-hit market +2: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 2 more lenses too. It holds in 0 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view120 of 129 launches | Without the breakout128 of 129 launches | Last 18 months67 of 129 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1293 hits | 1202 hits | 1282 hits | 672 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.3 in 1001 in 43 | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $28,230+ | $202 | $202 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -26.1%0.6 fewer in 100 | -30.4%0.7 fewer in 100 | +30.4%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +19.8%$40 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoon and Strategy, 6 to 30 months old: 129 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD (68.5% of the money): 128 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 67 of 129.
Cartoon holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoon | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view777 of 826 launches | Without the breakout825 of 826 launches | Last 18 months430 of 826 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 82628 hits | 77725 hits | 82527 hits | 43013 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $18,611+ | $303 | $303 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -11.8%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.9%$21 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoon, 6 to 30 months old: 826 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 826 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Starsand Island (21.2% of the money): 825 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 430 of 826.
Strategy holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,988 of 5,391 launches | Without the breakout5,390 of 5,391 launches | Last 18 months3,128 of 5,391 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,391337 hits | 4,988308 hits | 5,390336 hits | 3,128178 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $44,532+ | $545 | $505 | $505 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.5%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.9%$40 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 6 to 30 months old: 5,391 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 403 of 5,391 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (17.1% of the money): 5,390 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,128 of 5,391.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoon + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.