Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Cartoony + Exploration
Cartoony + Exploration
Games tagged both Cartoony and Exploration: 168 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoony + Exploration priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Cartoony and trails Exploration; priced $10 to $20 it is level with Cartoony and trails Exploration.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoony + Exploration is level with Cartoony and trails Exploration: 3 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.7 in 100 for Cartoony and 20.1 in 100 for Exploration.
Small sample: 21 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both Cartoony and Exploration priced $10 to $20. 14.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.7 for Cartoony-only games and 20.3 for Exploration-only games, so the mix is level with Cartoony alone and trails Exploration alone.
Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 14.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,499.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoony + Exploration is audience-sensitive: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view156 of 168 launches | Without the breakout167 of 168 launches | Last 18 months92 of 168 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1687 hits | 1567 hits | 1676 hits | 923 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $645top tenth $43,313+ | $846 | $606 | $725 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.1%0.3 more in 100 | -14.3%0.6 fewer in 100 | -21.4%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +31.2%$201 more | -6.0%$39 less | +12.4%$80 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoony and Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 168 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 168 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, ANTONBLAST (31.1% of the money): 167 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 92 of 168.
Cartoony holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoony | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,368 of 1,463 launches | Without the breakout1,462 of 1,463 launches | Last 18 months769 of 1,463 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,46352 hits | 1,36847 hits | 1,46251 hits | 76926 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $403top tenth $12,138+ | $404 | $403 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -9.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoony, 6 to 30 months old: 1,463 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 1,463 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (23.1% of the money): 1,462 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 769 of 1,463.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoony + Exploration moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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