Casual + 1990's: a typical launch earns $142 in its first year

That is the median of 121 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 216 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 21% on the year before: 167 against 138.

Price: $142
Price vs a year earlier: −41.4%
Releases, 12 months: 167
Upcoming games: 236
Games on the store: 816

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Casual + 1990's on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.05% to 0.09%	14 ranked of 237 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,179 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.00xhits against expected	0.68x to 1.53x	216 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,822 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 8
Expected: 8.1

Launches: 216
Hit rate: 3.7%1.0% to 5.7%
Expected rate: 3.7%
Against expected: 1.00x0.68x to 1.53x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

216 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $162
Top tenth: $6,040

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 167
Prior 12 months: 138

Change: +21%

Parent tags

CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
1990'sNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Casual

pairs with Casual

Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Casual

More with 1990's

pairs with 1990's

Simulation + 1990's$2,00550 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
Old School + 1990's$1,80034 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
Retro + 1990's$1,41683 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
Shooter + 1990's$1,11239 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
Pixel Graphics + 1990's$657100 launches priced, 158 releases in 12 months
Horror + 1990's$58676 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 1990's

Verdicts

in development

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