Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Casual + 3D Platformer: a typical launch earns $161 in its first year

That is the median of 350 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 682 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 23.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases held level on the year before: 447 against 446.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $161
Price vs a year earlier: +32.7%
Releases, 12 months: 447
Upcoming games: 731
Games on the store: 2,865

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Casual + 3D Platformer on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.16%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.08% to 0.24%	26 ranked of 732 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,253 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.53xhits against expected	0.37x to 0.79x	682 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,515 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+38%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+16% to +64%	44 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#336 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	+2%review growth against same-age games	−14% to +16%	44 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,869 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 11
Expected: 23.5

Launches: 682
Hit rate: 1.6%0.8% to 2.0%
Expected rate: 3.5%
Against expected: 0.53x0.37x to 0.79x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

681 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $162
Top tenth: $3,506

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 447
Prior 12 months: 446

Change: 0%
Against Steam: −26%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
3D PlatformerGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Casual

pairs with Casual

Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Casual

More with 3D Platformer

pairs with 3D Platformer

Psychological Horror + 3D Platformer$1,13361 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Character Customization + 3D Platformer$99138 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
3D Platformer + Female Protagonist$83138 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Funny + 3D Platformer$80879 launches priced, 111 releases in 12 months
Horror + 3D Platformer$80867 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Difficult + 3D Platformer$72955 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D Platformer

Verdicts

in development

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