Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Casual + 4X: 8 releases in the last 12 months

There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 0 of 11 matured launches earned $100k or more. Releases fell 27% on the year before: 8 against 11.

Small sample
Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games

Price: n/a
Price vs a year earlier: n/a
Releases, 12 months: 8
Upcoming games: 13
Games on the store: 74

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Casual + 4X on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games.
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 30 or more matured launches.
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 0

Launches: 11
Hit rate: 0.0%0.0% to 0.0%
Expected rate: 10.9%

Under 30 matured launches, so this pair is not on the launch success board. Read these counts as a small sample.

Revenue spread

11 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $11
Top tenth: $4,244

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 8
Prior 12 months: 11

Change: −27%

Parent tags

CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
4XGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Casual

pairs with Casual

Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Casual

More with 4X

pairs with 4X

Simulation + 4Xno price41 releases in 12 months
4X + Grand Strategyno price38 releases in 12 months
4X + Turn-Based Strategyno price34 releases in 12 months
4X + 2Dno price26 releases in 12 months
4X + Wargameno price24 releases in 12 months
4X + Explorationno price20 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 4X

Verdicts

in development

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