Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Casual + Action RPG: a typical launch earns $100 in its first year

That is the median of 107 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 237 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 26% on the year before: 172 against 136.

Price: $100
Price vs a year earlier: −38.0%
Releases, 12 months: 172
Upcoming games: 316
Games on the store: 1,030

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Casual + Action RPG on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.03% to 0.09%	8 ranked of 316 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,410 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.48xhits against expected	0.33x to 0.79x	237 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,633 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 13.5

Launches: 237
Hit rate: 2.1%0.4% to 3.4%
Expected rate: 5.7%
Against expected: 0.48x0.33x to 0.79x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

237 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $133
Top tenth: $5,268

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 172
Prior 12 months: 136

Change: +26%

Parent tags

CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Action RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Casual

pairs with Casual

Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Casual

More with Action RPG

pairs with Action RPG

Action RPG + Loot$5,00732 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
Action RPG + Female Protagonist$2,63047 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
Action RPG + Isometric$2,42839 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Anime + Action RPG$2,40730 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
Action RPG + Dark Fantasy$2,34646 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
Metroidvania + Action RPG$1,94335 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Action RPG

Verdicts

in development

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