Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Casual + Flight: a typical launch earns $121 in its first year

That is the median of 53 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 106 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 2% on the year before: 64 against 65.

Price: $121
Price vs a year earlier: −45.6%
Releases, 12 months: 64
Upcoming games: 115
Games on the store: 602

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Casual + Flight on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.01% to 0.02%	6 ranked of 115 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#3,575 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.78xhits against expected	0.54x to 1.33x	106 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,272 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 3
Expected: 4.7

Launches: 106
Hit rate: 2.8%0.8% to 5.4%
Expected rate: 4.5%
Against expected: 0.78x0.54x to 1.33x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

106 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $121
Top tenth: $3,741

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 64
Prior 12 months: 65

Change: −2%

Parent tags

CasualNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
FlightGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Casual

pairs with Casual

Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Casual

More with Flight

pairs with Flight

Simulation + Flight$30461 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
Action + Flight$24265 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
3D + Flight$20268 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
Arcade + Flight$16260 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
2D + Flight$12131 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Flight$12137 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Flight

Verdicts

in development

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