Niche

Casual + Interactive Fiction

Games tagged both Casual and Interactive Fiction: 412 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Casual + Interactive Fiction priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Casual and trails Interactive Fiction; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Casual and is too small to compare with Interactive Fiction.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Casual + Interactive Fiction is too small to compare with Casual and is too small to compare with Interactive Fiction: 4 of its 60 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for Casual and 15.3 in 100 for Interactive Fiction.

Small sample: 60 launches, 4 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagCasual

13.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.8 in 100

Typical earnings$4,254

Launches1,006 / 139 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCasual + Interactive Fiction

4 of 60launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 60 launches

$1k+77 in 100

$10k+38 in 100

Launches60 / 4 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoInteractive Fiction

15.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.3 in 100

Typical earnings$10,537

Launches235 / 36 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices412 in pair Under $5230 in pair $5 to $10113 in pair $10 to $2060 in pair$20 to $409: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 60 games tagged both Casual and Interactive Fiction priced $10 to $20. 4 of 60 of them earned $100k+, against 14.3 in 100 for Casual-only games and 18.3 in 100 for Interactive Fiction-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Casual alone and is too small to compare with Interactive Fiction alone.

Both: 60 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 60 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 77 in 100 · $10k+ 38 in 100 · $100k+ 4 of 60 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 60 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

I Wani Hug that Gator!leads this pair24.8%

PairI Wani Hug that Gator!24.8%

CasualHouse Flipper 23.9%

Interactive FictionThe Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty11.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Casual + Interactive Fiction

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

I Wani Hug that Gator! earned 24.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 412 Casual + Interactive Fiction launches.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.9% of its money.
Interactive Fiction is led by The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty, with 11.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Casual + Interactive Fiction holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Casual + Interactive Fiction through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view360 of 412 launches	Without the breakout411 of 412 launches	Last 18 months126 of 412 launches
Launches counted	4129 hits	3607 hits	4118 hits	1264 hits
Earned $100k+	2.2 in 1001 in 46	1.9 in 1001 in 51	1.9 in 1001 in 51	4 of 126too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$485top tenth $12,358+	$505	$482	$436
Chance against standard	the base	-11.0%0.2 fewer in 100	-10.9%0.2 fewer in 100	+45.3%1.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+4.1%$20 more	-0.6%$3 less	-10.1%$49 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Interactive Fiction, 12 to 36 months old: 412 launches.

Launches counted: 4129 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.2 in 1001 in 46
Typical first-year earnings: $485top tenth $12,358+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 412 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3607 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.9 in 1001 in 51
Typical first-year earnings: $505
Chance against standard: -11.0%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.1%$20 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, I Wani Hug that Gator! (24.8% of the money): 411 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4118 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.9 in 1001 in 51
Typical first-year earnings: $482
Chance against standard: -10.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.6%$3 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 126 of 412.

Launches counted: 1264 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 126too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $436
Chance against standard: +45.3%1.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -10.1%$49 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Interactive Fiction, 12 to 36 months old: 412 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 412 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, I Wani Hug that Gator! (24.8% of the money): 411 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 126 of 412.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,378 of 9,921 launches	Without the breakout9,920 of 9,921 launches	Last 18 months2,915 of 9,921 launches
Launches counted	9,921305 hits	9,378287 hits	9,920304 hits	2,915127 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 33	4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings	$252top tenth $10,057+	$268	$252	$272
Chance against standard	the base	-0.5%no change	-0.3%no change	+41.7%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.3%$16 more	0.0%no change	+7.9%$20 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.

Launches counted: 9,921305 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $252top tenth $10,057+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,378287 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +6.3%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,920304 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $252
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.

Launches counted: 2,915127 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $272
Chance against standard: +41.7%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +7.9%$20 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.

Interactive Fiction is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Interactive Fiction through every lens, all prices
Interactive Fiction	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,127 of 1,284 launches	Without the breakout1,283 of 1,284 launches	Last 18 months384 of 1,284 launches
Launches counted	1,28469 hits	1,12751 hits	1,28368 hits	38425 hits
Earned $100k+	5.4 in 1001 in 19	4.5 in 1001 in 22	5.3 in 1001 in 19	6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$823top tenth $35,638+	$810	$822	$865
Chance against standard	the base	-15.8%0.8 fewer in 100	-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+21.2%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.6%$13 less	-0.1%$1 less	+5.1%$42 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Interactive Fiction, 12 to 36 months old: 1,284 launches.

Launches counted: 1,28469 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $823top tenth $35,638+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,284 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,12751 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $810
Chance against standard: -15.8%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.6%$13 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (11.6% of the money): 1,283 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,28368 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $822
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 384 of 1,284.

Launches counted: 38425 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $865
Chance against standard: +21.2%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +5.1%$42 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Interactive Fiction, 12 to 36 months old: 1,284 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,284 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (11.6% of the money): 1,283 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 384 of 1,284.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Casual + Interactive Fiction moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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