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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / Casual + Logic

Niche

Casual + Logic

Games tagged both Casual and Logic: 569 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Casual + Logic priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Casual and is about level with Logic; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Casual + Logic beats both its tags: 18.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for Casual and 15.1 in 100 for Logic.

That is about 0.9 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIETied
Tag onemood tagCasual
13.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds13.8 in 100
Typical earnings$4,254
Launches1,006 / 139 hits
Pair leads by4.4 in 100
1STWinner
This pairCasual + Logic
18.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.2 in 100
$1k+58 in 100
$10k+39 in 100
Launches33 / 6 hits
Expected20.5 in 100
TIETied
Tag twoLogic
15.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.1 in 100
$1k+75 in 100
$10k+43 in 100
Launches93 / 14 hits
Pair leads by3.1 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices569 in pairUnder $5387 in pair$5 to $10141 in pair$10 to $2033 in pair$20 to $408: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 33 games tagged both Casual and Logic priced $10 to $20. 18.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.7 in 100 for Casual-only games and 13.3 in 100 for Logic-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 33 games priced $10 to $20; 18.2 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 58 in 100 · $10k+ 39 in 100 · $100k+ 18 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 33 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Is This Seat Taken?leads this pair32.9%
PairIs This Seat Taken?32.9%
CasualHouse Flipper 23.9%
LogicMurders on the Yangtze River18.1%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Casual + Logic

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Is This Seat Taken? earned 32.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 569 Casual + Logic launches.
  • Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.9% of its money.
  • Logic is led by Murders on the Yangtze River, with 18.1% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Casual + Logic is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual + Logic through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view561 of 569 launchesWithout the breakout568 of 569 launchesLast 18 months148 of 569 launches
Launches counted56911 hits56111 hits56810 hits1488 hits
Earned $100k+1.9 in 1001 in 522.0 in 1001 in 511.8 in 1001 in 575.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$182top tenth $3,163+$194$182$145
Chance against standardthe base+1.4%no change-8.9%0.2 fewer in 100+179.6%3.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.6%$12 more0.0%no change-20.3%$37 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 569 launches.

Launches counted
56911 hits
Earned $100k+
1.9 in 1001 in 52
Typical first-year earnings
$182top tenth $3,163+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 569 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
56111 hits
Earned $100k+
2.0 in 1001 in 51
Typical first-year earnings
$194
Chance against standard
+1.4%no change
Typical against standard
+6.6%$12 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Is This Seat Taken? (32.9% of the money): 568 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
56810 hits
Earned $100k+
1.8 in 1001 in 57
Typical first-year earnings
$182
Chance against standard
-8.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 148 of 569.

Launches counted
1488 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$145
Chance against standard
+179.6%3.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
-20.3%$37 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 569 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 569 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Is This Seat Taken? (32.9% of the money): 568 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 148 of 569.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
CasualBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view9,378 of 9,921 launchesWithout the breakout9,920 of 9,921 launchesLast 18 months2,915 of 9,921 launches
Launches counted9,921305 hits9,378287 hits9,920304 hits2,915127 hits
Earned $100k+3.1 in 1001 in 333.1 in 1001 in 333.1 in 1001 in 334.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings$252top tenth $10,057+$268$252$272
Chance against standardthe base-0.5%no change-0.3%no change+41.7%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.3%$16 more0.0%no change+7.9%$20 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.

Launches counted
9,921305 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$252top tenth $10,057+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
9,378287 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$268
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+6.3%$16 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
9,920304 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$252
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.

Launches counted
2,915127 hits
Earned $100k+
4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$272
Chance against standard
+41.7%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
+7.9%$20 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.

Logic is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Logic through every lens, all prices
LogicBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view878 of 895 launchesWithout the breakout894 of 895 launchesLast 18 months237 of 895 launches
Launches counted89525 hits87822 hits89424 hits23712 hits
Earned $100k+2.8 in 1001 in 362.5 in 1001 in 402.7 in 1001 in 375.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings$323top tenth $11,366+$325$323$218
Chance against standardthe base-10.3%0.3 fewer in 100-3.9%0.1 fewer in 100+81.3%2.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.6%$2 more0.0%no change-32.5%$105 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 895 launches.

Launches counted
89525 hits
Earned $100k+
2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$323top tenth $11,366+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 895 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
87822 hits
Earned $100k+
2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings
$325
Chance against standard
-10.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+0.6%$2 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (18.1% of the money): 894 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
89424 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings
$323
Chance against standard
-3.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 237 of 895.

Launches counted
23712 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$218
Chance against standard
+81.3%2.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
-32.5%$105 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 895 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 895 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (18.1% of the money): 894 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 237 of 895.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Casual + Logic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.