Niche

Casual + Multiplayer

Games tagged both Casual and Multiplayer: 452 indie paid launches, 42 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Casual + Multiplayer priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Casual + Multiplayer beats Casual and trails Multiplayer: 24.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for Casual and 31.1 in 100 for Multiplayer.

That is about 1.2 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird

Tag onemood tagCasual

13.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.8 in 100

Typical earnings$4,254

Launches1,006 / 139 hits

Pair leads by10.8 in 100

2NDRunner-up

This pairCasual + Multiplayer

24.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds24.6 in 100

$1k+74 in 100

$10k+44 in 100

Launches61 / 15 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

1STWinner

Tag twomood tagMultiplayer

31.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds31.1 in 100

Typical earnings$28,765

Launches267 / 83 hits

Pair trails by6.5 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices452 in pair Under $5249 in pair $5 to $10131 in pair $10 to $2061 in pair $20 to $4011 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 61 games tagged both Casual and Multiplayer priced $10 to $20. 24.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.1 in 100 for Casual-only games and 33.0 in 100 for Multiplayer-only games, so the mix beats Casual alone and trails Multiplayer alone.

Both: 61 games priced $10 to $20; 24.6 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 74 in 100 · $10k+ 44 in 100 · $100k+ 25 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 61 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

PowerWash Simulator 2leads this pair14.5%

PairPowerWash Simulator 214.5%

CasualHouse Flipper 23.9%

MultiplayerPalworld21.5%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Casual + Multiplayer

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

PowerWash Simulator 2 earned 14.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 452 Casual + Multiplayer launches.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.9% of its money.
Multiplayer is led by Palworld, with 21.5% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Casual + Multiplayer is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual + Multiplayer through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view439 of 452 launches	Without the breakout451 of 452 launches	Last 18 months141 of 452 launches
Launches counted	45242 hits	43941 hits	45141 hits	14121 hits
Earned $100k+	9.3 in 1001 in 11	9.3 in 1001 in 11	9.1 in 1001 in 11	14.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$515top tenth $80,628+	$514	$514	$643
Chance against standard	the base	+0.5%no change	-2.2%0.2 fewer in 100	+60.3%5.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-0.2%$1 less	-0.2%$1 less	+24.9%$128 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 452 launches.

Launches counted: 45242 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.3 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $515top tenth $80,628+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 452 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 43941 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.3 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $514
Chance against standard: +0.5%no change
Typical against standard: -0.2%$1 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, PowerWash Simulator 2 (14.5% of the money): 451 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 45141 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $514
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.2%$1 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 141 of 452.

Launches counted: 14121 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $643
Chance against standard: +60.3%5.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +24.9%$128 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 452 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 452 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, PowerWash Simulator 2 (14.5% of the money): 451 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 141 of 452.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,378 of 9,921 launches	Without the breakout9,920 of 9,921 launches	Last 18 months2,915 of 9,921 launches
Launches counted	9,921305 hits	9,378287 hits	9,920304 hits	2,915127 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 33	4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings	$252top tenth $10,057+	$268	$252	$272
Chance against standard	the base	-0.5%no change	-0.3%no change	+41.7%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.3%$16 more	0.0%no change	+7.9%$20 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.

Launches counted: 9,921305 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $252top tenth $10,057+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,378287 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +6.3%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,920304 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $252
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.

Launches counted: 2,915127 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $272
Chance against standard: +41.7%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +7.9%$20 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.

Multiplayer holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Multiplayer through every lens, all prices
Multiplayer	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,285 of 1,326 launches	Without the breakout1,325 of 1,326 launches	Last 18 months382 of 1,326 launches
Launches counted	1,326204 hits	1,285195 hits	1,325203 hits	38264 hits
Earned $100k+	15.4 in 100	15.2 in 100	15.3 in 100	16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,243top tenth $335,136+	$1,264	$1,237	$1,414
Chance against standard	the base	-1.4%0.2 fewer in 100	-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+8.9%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$21 more	-0.5%$6 less	+13.8%$171 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,326 launches.

Launches counted: 1,326204 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,243top tenth $335,136+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 1,326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,285195 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,264
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$21 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (21.5% of the money): 1,325 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,325203 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,237
Chance against standard: -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$6 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,326.

Launches counted: 38264 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,414
Chance against standard: +8.9%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +13.8%$171 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,326 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 1,326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (21.5% of the money): 1,325 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,326.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Casual + Multiplayer moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.