Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Casual + Puzzle
Games tagged both Casual and Puzzle: 2,864 indie paid launches, 46 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Casual + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Casual and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Casual + Puzzle trails both its tags: 10.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for Casual and 15.0 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 0.5 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 269 games tagged both Casual and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 10.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.1 in 100 for Casual-only games and 18.0 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 269 games priced $10 to $20; 10.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,080.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 269 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Casual + Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,789 of 2,864 launches | Without the breakout2,863 of 2,864 launches | Last 18 months825 of 2,864 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,86446 hits | 2,78942 hits | 2,86345 hits | 82517 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.6 in 1001 in 62 | 1.5 in 1001 in 66 | 1.6 in 1001 in 64 | 2.1 in 1001 in 49 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $253top tenth $4,134+ | $255 | $252 | $273 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -6.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.1%no change | +28.3%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$2 more | -0.4%$1 less | +7.9%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 2,864 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 75 of 2,864 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, VLADiK BRUTAL (10.0% of the money): 2,863 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 825 of 2,864.
Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view9,378 of 9,921 launches | Without the breakout9,920 of 9,921 launches | Last 18 months2,915 of 9,921 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,921305 hits | 9,378287 hits | 9,920304 hits | 2,915127 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $252top tenth $10,057+ | $268 | $252 | $272 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +41.7%1.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.3%$16 more | 0.0%no change | +7.9%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,129 of 5,329 launches | Without the breakout5,328 of 5,329 launches | Last 18 months1,514 of 5,329 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,329188 hits | 5,129177 hits | 5,328187 hits | 1,51458 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $417top tenth $14,053+ | $429 | $417 | $454 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +8.6%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.9%$12 more | 0.0%no change | +8.9%$37 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,329 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,329 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,328 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,514 of 5,329.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Casual + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.