Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Casual + Trivia: a typical launch earns $81 in its first year
That is the median of 43 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 102 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 89% on the year before: 100 against 53.
- Price
- $81 median of 43 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −19.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 100 53 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 98 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 497 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.83xhits against expected | 0.61x to 1.46x | 102 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,929 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 102
- Hit rate
- 2.0%0.0% to 4.0%
- Expected rate
- 3.0%
- Against expected
- 0.83x0.61x to 1.46x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
102 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $101
- Top tenth
- $2,821
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +89%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- BidKing (opens the Steam store)2026 · 22,297 reviews, 33% positiveest. $755k
- The Jackbox Party Pack 10 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 501 reviews, 64% positiveest. $304k
- The Jackbox Party Pack 11 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 420 reviews, 93% positiveest. $255k
- Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum (opens the Steam store)2025 · 361 reviews, 98% positiveest. $146k
- MEMOLOGY: GOYDA (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,858 reviews, 94% positiveest. $75k
- Party Quiz (opens the Steam store)2026 · 148 reviews, 80% positiveest. $36k
- The You Quiz (opens the Steam store)2025 · 102 reviews, 93% positiveest. $21k
- 探岛海龟汤 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 110 reviews, 71% positiveest. $12k
More with Casual
pairs with Casual- Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Trivia
pairs with Trivia- Puzzle + Triviano price57 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Triviano price49 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Triviano price29 releases in 12 months
- Trivia + Word Gameno price28 releases in 12 months
- Family Friendly + Triviano price27 releases in 12 months
- Trivia + Text-Basedno price23 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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