Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Choices Matter + Psychological Horror
Choices Matter + Psychological Horror
Games tagged both Choices Matter and Psychological Horror: 199 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Choices Matter + Psychological Horror priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Choices Matter and beats Psychological Horror; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Choices Matter + Psychological Horror beats both its tags: 5 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Choices Matter and 19.7 in 100 for Psychological Horror.
Small sample: 24 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Choices Matter and Psychological Horror priced $10 to $20. 20.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.0 for Choices Matter-only games and 19.6 for Psychological Horror-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 20.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $22,688.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Choices Matter + Psychological Horror is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view193 of 199 launches | Without the breakout198 of 199 launches | Last 18 months118 of 199 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 19916 hits | 19314 hits | 19815 hits | 1187 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,617top tenth $65,378+ | $1,535 | $1,617 | $1,314 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -8.8%0.7 fewer in 100 | -5.0%0.4 fewer in 100 | -26.3%2.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -5.1%$82 less | 0.0%no change | -18.7%$303 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and Psychological Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 199 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 199 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (37.5% of the money): 198 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 118 of 199.
Choices Matter is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Choices Matter | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,292 of 1,354 launches | Without the breakout1,353 of 1,354 launches | Last 18 months780 of 1,354 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,354106 hits | 1,29294 hits | 1,353105 hits | 78045 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,048top tenth $65,378+ | $1,029 | $1,029 | $709 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.4%0.5 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -25.6%2.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -1.8%$19 less | -1.8%$19 less | -32.3%$339 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.
Psychological Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Psychological Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,390 of 2,500 launches | Without the breakout2,499 of 2,500 launches | Last 18 months1,334 of 2,500 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,500136 hits | 2,390127 hits | 2,499135 hits | 1,33456 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,314top tenth $30,835+ | $1,314 | $1,314 | $1,112 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -22.2%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -15.4%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 2,500 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 110 of 2,500 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (7.5% of the money): 2,499 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,334 of 2,500.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Choices Matter + Psychological Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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