Niche

Choices Matter + Puzzle

Games tagged both Choices Matter and Puzzle: 170 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Choices Matter + Puzzle priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Choices Matter + Puzzle trails Choices Matter and beats Puzzle: 3 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Choices Matter and 13.8 in 100 for Puzzle.

Small sample: 20 launches, 3 hits.

1STWinner

Tag onemood tagChoices Matter

20.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.1 in 100

Typical earnings$13,111

Launches284 / 57 hits

Pair trails by5.1 in 100

2NDRunner-up

This pairChoices Matter + Puzzle

3 of 20launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 20 launches

Typical earnings$6,009

Launches20 / 3 hits

Expected18.6 in 100

3RDThird

Tag twoPuzzle

13.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.8 in 100

Typical earnings$4,553

Launches775 / 107 hits

Pair leads by1.2 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Choices Matter is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices170 in pair Under $596 in pair $5 to $1049 in pair $10 to $2020 in pair$20 to $405: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Choices Matter and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 15.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.5 for Choices Matter-only games and 13.8 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix trails Choices Matter alone and beats Puzzle alone.

Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 15.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,009.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Rise of the Golden Idolleads this pair31.5%

PairThe Rise of the Golden Idol31.5%

Choices MatterLegend of Mortal10.7%

PuzzleBlue Prince7.0%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choices Matter + Puzzle

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

The Rise of the Golden Idol earned 31.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 170 Choices Matter + Puzzle launches.
Choices Matter is led by Legend of Mortal, with 10.7% of its money.
Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.0% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choices Matter + Puzzle is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Choices Matter + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view164 of 170 launches	Without the breakout169 of 170 launches	Last 18 months112 of 170 launches
Launches counted	1707 hits	1646 hits	1696 hits	1122 hits
Earned $100k+	4.1 in 1001 in 24	3.7 in 1001 in 27	3.6 in 1001 in 28	1.8 in 1001 in 56
Typical first-year earnings	$403top tenth $15,177+	$403	$403	$304
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-9.8%0.4 fewer in 100	-12.2%0.5 fewer in 100	-56.1%2.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-24.6%$99 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 170 launches.

Launches counted: 1707 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $403top tenth $15,177+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 170 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1646 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $403
Chance against standard: -9.8%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Rise of the Golden Idol (31.5% of the money): 169 launches left.

Launches counted: 1696 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $403
Chance against standard: -12.2%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 112 of 170.

Launches counted: 1122 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.8 in 1001 in 56
Typical first-year earnings: $304
Chance against standard: -56.1%2.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -24.6%$99 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 170 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 170 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Rise of the Golden Idol (31.5% of the money): 169 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 112 of 170.

Choices Matter is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Choices Matter through every lens, all prices
Choices Matter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,292 of 1,354 launches	Without the breakout1,353 of 1,354 launches	Last 18 months780 of 1,354 launches
Launches counted	1,354106 hits	1,29294 hits	1,353105 hits	78045 hits
Earned $100k+	7.8 in 1001 in 13	7.3 in 1001 in 14	7.8 in 1001 in 13	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$1,048top tenth $65,378+	$1,029	$1,029	$709
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-6.4%0.5 fewer in 100	0.0%no change	-25.6%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	-1.8%$19 less	-1.8%$19 less	-32.3%$339 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.

Launches counted: 1,354106 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,048top tenth $65,378+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,29294 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,029
Chance against standard: -6.4%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.8%$19 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.

Launches counted: 1,353105 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,029
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: -1.8%$19 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.

Launches counted: 78045 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $709
Chance against standard: -25.6%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -32.3%$339 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.

Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
Puzzle	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches	Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches	Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches
Launches counted	5,739203 hits	5,529192 hits	5,738202 hits	3,111106 hits
Earned $100k+	3.5 in 1001 in 29	3.5 in 1001 in 29	3.5 in 1001 in 29	3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings	$443top tenth $14,400+	$461	$443	$405
Chance against standard	the yardstick	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-2.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	+4.1%$18 more	0.0%no change	-8.6%$38 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.

Launches counted: 5,739203 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $443top tenth $14,400+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,529192 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $461
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: +4.1%$18 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.

Launches counted: 5,738202 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $443
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.

Launches counted: 3,111106 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $405
Chance against standard: -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -8.6%$38 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choices Matter + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.