Niches / Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark

Niche

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark

Games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dark: 46 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark is too small to compare with Choose Your Own Adventure and is too small to compare with Dark: 0 of its 18 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 2 of 421 launches for Choose Your Own Adventure and 4 of 705 launches for Dark.

Small sample: 18 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneChoose Your Own Adventure

2 of 421launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 421 launches

Typical earnings$185

Launches421 / 2 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairChoose Your Own Adventure + Dark

0 of 18launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 18 launches

$1k+6 of 18 launches

$10k+1 of 18 launches

Launches18 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagDark

4 of 705launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 705 launches

Typical earnings$315

Launches705 / 4 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Dark is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices46 in pair Under $518 in pair $5 to $1018 in pair$10 to $207: too few$20 to $403: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 18 games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dark priced under $5. 0 of 18 of them earned $100k+, against 2 of 403 for Choose Your Own Adventure-only games and 4 of 687 for Dark-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Choose Your Own Adventure alone and is too small to compare with Dark alone.

Both: 18 games priced under $5; 0 of 18 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 6 of 18 launches · $10k+ 1 of 18 launches · $100k+ 0 of 18 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 18 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

SAEKO: Giantess Dating Simleads this pair35.5%

PairSAEKO: Giantess Dating Sim35.5%

Choose Your Own AdventureSlay the Princess — The Pristine Cut15.2%

DarkNo, I'm not a Human12.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

SAEKO: Giantess Dating Sim earned 35.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 46 Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark launches.
Choose Your Own Adventure is led by Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut, with 15.2% of its money.
Dark is led by No, I'm not a Human, with 12.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view46 of 46 launches	Without the breakout45 of 46 launches	Last 18 months10 of 46 launches
Launches counted	462 hits	462 hits	451 hits	101 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 46too few for a rate	2 of 46too few for a rate	1 of 45too few for a rate	1 of 10too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	22 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 54 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-48.9%2.1 fewer in 100	+130.0%5.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.

Launches counted: 462 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 46too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 22 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 54 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 462 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 46too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, SAEKO: Giantess Dating Sim (35.5% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 451 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 45too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -48.9%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 46.

Launches counted: 101 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 10too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +130.0%5.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, SAEKO: Giantess Dating Sim (35.5% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 46.

Choose Your Own Adventure is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Choose Your Own Adventure through every lens, all prices
Choose Your Own Adventure	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,000 of 1,042 launches	Without the breakout1,041 of 1,042 launches	Last 18 months284 of 1,042 launches
Launches counted	1,04261 hits	1,00051 hits	1,04160 hits	28423 hits
Earned $100k+	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.8 in 1001 in 17	8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$945top tenth $33,442+	$929	$931	$857
Chance against standard	the base	-12.9%0.8 fewer in 100	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100	+38.3%2.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.7%$16 less	-1.5%$14 less	-9.3%$88 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,042 launches.

Launches counted: 1,04261 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $945top tenth $33,442+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,042 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,00051 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $929
Chance against standard: -12.9%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.7%$16 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (15.2% of the money): 1,041 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,04160 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $931
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.5%$14 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 1,042.

Launches counted: 28423 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $857
Chance against standard: +38.3%2.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -9.3%$88 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,042 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,042 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (15.2% of the money): 1,041 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 1,042.

Dark holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dark through every lens, all prices
Dark	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,201 of 1,224 launches	Without the breakout1,223 of 1,224 launches	Last 18 months343 of 1,224 launches
Launches counted	1,22473 hits	1,20171 hits	1,22372 hits	34320 hits
Earned $100k+	6.0 in 1001 in 17	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$884top tenth $36,744+	$884	$862	$884
Chance against standard	the base	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-2.5%$22 less	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.

Launches counted: 1,22473 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $884top tenth $36,744+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,20171 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $884
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,22372 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $862
Chance against standard: -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.5%$22 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.

Launches counted: 34320 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $884
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.