Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim: a typical launch earns $3,116 in its first year

That is the median of 75 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 22 of 140 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 23.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 1% on the year before: 85 against 86.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $3,116
Price vs a year earlier: −6.7%
Releases, 12 months: 85
Upcoming games: 188
Games on the store: 574

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.06% to 0.09%	20 ranked of 189 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,122 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.95xhits against expected	0.72x to 1.26x	140 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#6,100 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	+46%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+16% to +89%	45 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#225 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	+4%review growth against same-age games	−7% to +17%	45 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,745 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 22
Expected: 23.3

Launches: 140
Hit rate: 15.7%11.7% to 24.7%
Expected rate: 16.6%
Against expected: 0.95x0.72x to 1.26x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

140 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $2,825
Top tenth: $207,104

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 85
Prior 12 months: 86

Change: −1%
Against Steam: −29%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Choose Your Own AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Dating SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

Related niches

pairs with Choose Your Own Adventure

Choose Your Own Adventure + Romance$3,13658 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Choose Your Own Adventure + Character Customization$2,97334 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery$2,91649 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,54534 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,180127 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim$2,12247 launches priced, 81 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Choose Your Own Adventure

More with Dating Sim

pairs with Dating Sim

Dating Sim + FMV$40,45030 launches priced, 28 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + LGBTQ+$7,36631 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + Otome$6,91133 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + Dating Sim$6,57961 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Immersive Sim + Dating Sim$5,95146 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Dating Sim

Verdicts

in development

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