Niches / Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery

Niche

Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery

Games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Mystery: 83 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Choose Your Own Adventure and is too small to compare with Mystery.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery is too small to compare with Choose Your Own Adventure and is too small to compare with Mystery: 4 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.0 in 100 for Choose Your Own Adventure and 24.4 in 100 for Mystery.

Small sample: 21 launches, 4 hits.

TIETied

Tag oneChoose Your Own Adventure

13.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.0 in 100

Typical earnings$6,187

Launches239 / 31 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairChoose Your Own Adventure + Mystery

4 of 21launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 21 launches

$1k+19 of 21 launches

$10k+13 of 21 launches

Launches21 / 4 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagMystery

24.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds24.4 in 100

Typical earnings$9,882

Launches258 / 63 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Mystery is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices83 in pair Under $529 in pair $5 to $1024 in pair $10 to $2021 in pair$20 to $409: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 4 of 21 of them earned $100k+, against 12.4 in 100 for Choose Your Own Adventure-only games and 24.9 in 100 for Mystery-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Choose Your Own Adventure alone and is too small to compare with Mystery alone.

Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 21 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 19 of 21 launches · $10k+ 13 of 21 launches · $100k+ 4 of 21 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILESleads this pair24.0%

PairNo Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES24.0%

Choose Your Own AdventureThe Casting of Frank Stone™10.6%

MysteryBlue Prince14.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES earned 24.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 83 Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery launches.
Choose Your Own Adventure is led by The Casting of Frank Stone™, with 10.6% of its money.
Mystery is led by Blue Prince, with 14.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view77 of 83 launches	Without the breakout82 of 83 launches	Last 18 months33 of 83 launches
Launches counted	8311 hits	778 hits	8210 hits	337 hits
Earned $100k+	13.3 in 100	10.4 in 100	12.2 in 100	21.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+	30 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 60 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-21.6%2.9 fewer in 100	-8.0%1.1 fewer in 100	+60.1%8.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 83 launches.

Launches counted: 8311 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.3 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 30 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 60 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 83 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 778 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.4 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -21.6%2.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES (24.0% of the money): 82 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8210 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -8.0%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 33 of 83.

Launches counted: 337 hits
Earned $100k+: 21.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +60.1%8.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 83 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 83 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES (24.0% of the money): 82 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 33 of 83.

Choose Your Own Adventure is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Choose Your Own Adventure through every lens, all prices
Choose Your Own Adventure	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view991 of 1,031 launches	Without the breakout1,030 of 1,031 launches	Last 18 months285 of 1,031 launches
Launches counted	1,03158 hits	99149 hits	1,03057 hits	28521 hits
Earned $100k+	5.6 in 1001 in 18	4.9 in 1001 in 20	5.5 in 1001 in 18	7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$1,000top tenth $31,490+	$945	$1,000	$980
Chance against standard	the base	-12.1%0.7 fewer in 100	-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100	+31.0%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-5.5%$55 less	0.0%no change	-2.0%$20 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,031 launches.

Launches counted: 1,03158 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,000top tenth $31,490+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 1,031 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 99149 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $945
Chance against standard: -12.1%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -5.5%$55 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (10.6% of the money): 1,030 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,03057 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,000
Chance against standard: -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 1,031.

Launches counted: 28521 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $980
Chance against standard: +31.0%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: -2.0%$20 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,031 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 1,031 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (10.6% of the money): 1,030 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 1,031.

Mystery is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Mystery through every lens, all prices
Mystery	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,167 of 1,239 launches	Without the breakout1,238 of 1,239 launches	Last 18 months402 of 1,239 launches
Launches counted	1,239109 hits	1,16795 hits	1,238108 hits	40237 hits
Earned $100k+	8.8 in 1001 in 11	8.1 in 1001 in 12	8.7 in 1001 in 11	9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,040top tenth $81,013+	$1,020	$1,040	$797
Chance against standard	the base	-7.5%0.7 fewer in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	+4.6%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.9%$20 less	0.0%no change	-23.4%$243 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.

Launches counted: 1,239109 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040top tenth $81,013+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,16795 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,020
Chance against standard: -7.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.9%$20 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,238108 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.7 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.

Launches counted: 40237 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $797
Chance against standard: +4.6%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -23.4%$243 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.