Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Cinematic + 3D: a typical launch earns $545 in its first year

That is the median of 95 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 12 of 180 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 4% on the year before: 118 against 123.

Price: $545
Price vs a year earlier: −40.7%
Releases, 12 months: 118
Upcoming games: 425
Games on the store: 957

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Cinematic + 3D on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games Listed after unflagged rows on this board	3.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.17% to 6.42%	33 ranked of 425 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#3,942 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.11xhits against expected	0.78x to 1.61x	180 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,148 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+53%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+18% to +92%	36 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#151 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+9%review growth against same-age games	0% to +20%	36 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#377 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 12
Expected: 10.5

Launches: 180
Hit rate: 6.7%3.7% to 11.8%
Expected rate: 5.8%
Against expected: 1.11x0.78x to 1.61x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

180 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $606
Top tenth: $22,123

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 118
Prior 12 months: 123

Change: −4%
Against Steam: −29%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

CinematicNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Cinematic

pairs with Cinematic

Cinematic + Immersive Sim$24,23132 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Cinematic$5,00947 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Interactive Fiction$4,18748 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Cinematic$4,03368 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Walking Simulator$3,57532 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Cinematic

More with 3D

pairs with 3D

3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D

Verdicts

in development

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