Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cinematic + Mystery
Games tagged both Cinematic and Mystery: 55 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cinematic + Mystery priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Cinematic and is too small to compare with Mystery.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cinematic + Mystery is too small to compare with Cinematic and is too small to compare with Mystery: 8 of its 18 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 30.0 in 100 for Cinematic and 24.4 in 100 for Mystery.
Small sample: 18 launches, 8 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 18 games tagged both Cinematic and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 8 of 18 of them earned $100k+, against 26.4 in 100 for Cinematic-only games and 22.9 in 100 for Mystery-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cinematic alone and is too small to compare with Mystery alone.
Both: 18 games priced $10 to $20; 8 of 18 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 18 launches · $10k+ 14 of 18 launches · $100k+ 8 of 18 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 18 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cinematic + Mystery holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view51 of 55 launches | Without the breakout54 of 55 launches | Last 18 months23 of 55 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5512 hits | 5111 hits | 5411 hits | 236 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 21.8 in 100 | 21.6 in 100 | 20.4 in 100 | 6 of 23too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 42 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 62 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -6.6%1.4 fewer in 100 | +19.6%4.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cinematic and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 55 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 55 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, One-Eyed Likho (15.8% of the money): 54 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 55.
Cinematic is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Cinematic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view452 of 489 launches | Without the breakout488 of 489 launches | Last 18 months144 of 489 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 48963 hits | 45252 hits | 48862 hits | 14425 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.9 in 100 | 11.5 in 100 | 12.7 in 100 | 17.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,363top tenth $162,155+ | $1,163 | $1,363 | $1,372 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -10.7%1.4 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | +34.8%4.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -14.7%$200 less | 0.0%no change | +0.7%$9 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cinematic, 12 to 36 months old: 489 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 489 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (9.2% of the money): 488 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 489.
Mystery is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,167 of 1,239 launches | Without the breakout1,238 of 1,239 launches | Last 18 months402 of 1,239 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,239109 hits | 1,16795 hits | 1,238108 hits | 40237 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,040top tenth $81,013+ | $1,020 | $1,040 | $797 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.5%0.7 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.9%$20 less | 0.0%no change | -23.4%$243 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cinematic + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.