Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Colorful + Fantasy
Games tagged both Colorful and Fantasy: 209 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Colorful + Fantasy priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Colorful + Fantasy trails both its tags: 4.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.7 in 100 for Colorful and 11.3 in 100 for Fantasy.
That is 1 in 21, about 0.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both Colorful and Fantasy priced $10 to $20. 4.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.9 for Colorful-only games and 12.0 for Fantasy-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 4.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 21), typical first-year earnings $2,430.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Colorful + Fantasy is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view208 of 209 launches | Without the breakout208 of 209 launches | Last 18 months117 of 209 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2097 hits | 2087 hits | 2086 hits | 1175 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $364top tenth $12,952+ | $364 | $364 | $321 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.0%0.1 more in 100 | -12.1%0.4 fewer in 100 | +30.3%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.8%$43 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Fantasy, 6 to 30 months old: 209 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 209 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cloudheim (32.2% of the money): 208 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 117 of 209.
Colorful holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Colorful | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,038 of 3,082 launches | Without the breakout3,081 of 3,082 launches | Last 18 months1,714 of 3,082 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,082134 hits | 3,038130 hits | 3,081133 hits | 1,71470 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $364top tenth $17,195+ | $364 | $364 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -4.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.8%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 6 to 30 months old: 3,082 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 3,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 3,081 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,714 of 3,082.
Fantasy holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Fantasy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,901 of 1,992 launches | Without the breakout1,991 of 1,992 launches | Last 18 months1,104 of 1,992 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,992110 hits | 1,901106 hits | 1,991109 hits | 1,10461 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $28,533+ | $607 | $606 | $526 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.8%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -13.2%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 6 to 30 months old: 1,992 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 1,992 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Fellowship (7.3% of the money): 1,991 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,104 of 1,992.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Colorful + Fantasy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.